Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?

[bordelond]

Since this article bases many of its arguments on 2022 (mid-term) and 2024 polling, I’ll cross-post this here.

Trump's reported increases in minority-voter support are - at best - heavily exaggerated

( @PhillyGuy , The New Republic’s Susan Milligan went with “vastly” - see below ) Milligan asks the reader a question I find myself asking over and over again: Is polling itself dispositive? Beyond mere musing, however, Milligan brings receipts: Democrats have weathered similar scares in recent cycles. In 2022, a preelection poll by the nonpartisan National Association of Latino Elected Officials found that 57 percent of Latinos favored Democratic candidates for Congress. Exit polls determin…

Reports of Biden’s Black and Hispanic Problem Are Vastly Overstated

Looking at the OP of this thread … this article makes more the case that “it’s the news” – that the problem is coverage about poll results and an apparent unwillingness to dig below surface interpretation of the numbers.