It’s going down. I’m in the 3-7% category, though it obviously depends on how long the shutdown lasts and how the final solution is worked out.
But… I also think it’s going back up after we have a resolution. I’m not predicting any long-term harm to the markets. So I’m “reaching for the phone” because a 5% temporary dip seems like an ideal time to buy stock on the cheap.
The market has been really fickle and seems to be moving according to daily headlines. Most economic news has been positive as of late resulting in the +18% YTD.
The government shutdown is in the headlines all day everyday and it’s reflected in the current drop. I predict as soon as thats over it jumps back right to where we left off, around 1715.