Predictions and forecasts about the ongoing Iran War

I think it’s a live blog so it changes. I should have used a different article.

I agree. He wants an off-ramp so he can move the goalposts and claim victory. But to do that he has to get the strait reopened – which will cost us.

I’m surprised he hasn’t thrown Hegseth under the bus. The fact that he didn’t is telling.

Has ‘Operation Epic Fury’ officially finished, or is it ongoing? I had some anagrams for it:

Ape-torn orifice? Yup!

Ciao, puny profiteer!

Crap! I notify Europe…

Our inept piracy foe

Pity poor urine face

I’m starting to wonder if we’ll see a split between the United States and Israel. Israel has proved itself willing to pursue their own interests even when it goes against the interests of the United States. Worse yet, Netanyahu has demonstrated to the world that Trump has no control over Israel. Despite Trump’s claims, Netanyahu does not follow his orders. How embarrassing for Trump.

Trump got himself into a quagmire from which he cannot exit without a significant loss of face. He won’t get support for a full invasion and he lacks the ability to negotiate effectively.

How could we not? IMO, at least. Who’s left in the US that really supports this war and this Israeli government?

We have the likes of Mike Huckabee who said, “Without Israel, without the Jewish foundation, there would not be America. We owe our very existence to what happened in this land.” Huckabee represents a contingent of Evangelical Christians, a core demographic for MAGA, who are simply crazy for Israel because it plays a role in the End Times and the return of Jesus Christ (among other reasons).

Trump’s going to have a hard time separating the United States from Israel without alienating a significant portion of his base. Given that long term thinking isn’t his strong suit, he might very well do it, but I have my doubts.

Trump won’t, but the next president? I think it will be a major part of the campaign. Maybe even on both sides.

Israel was not involved in the negotiations that came up with the MOU. This is something el donald seems to do a lot of. He commits people to things without bothering to include them in the negotiations. Did anyone ask the Palestinians what they thought about his ‘Abraham Accords’?

And lil Marco blabbing about a concept of a plan in talks between Lebanon and Israel leaving out Hezbollah. It’s…insane.