On March 9, Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf removed Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry for “Abuse of office,” after Chaudhry publicly stated his opinion that it would be illegal for Musharraf to hold another five-year term. Since then there have been riots – led by lawyers! – all over the country, including a large protest in Islamabad today.
According to this analysis, that’s just part of Musharraf’s problems. He also has to deal with the Pakistani Taliban as a rising force in the Northwest Province, while simultaneously trying to satisfy the Bush Admin’s demands that he keep them from stirring up trouble in Afghanistan, which they are.
Meanwhile, there’s a long-simmering quasi-insurgency among the Balochs of southwestern Pakistan (there are also Balochi in southeastern Iran and southern Afghanistan – see this ethnic map of the region).
Can Musharraf hang on to power?
Can Pakistan hang together as a country, period?
How will all this affect the U.S. position in the region?