There are two quantites that are present here. First, there is the question of whether a given hypothsis is scientific. The second is whether it is true.
A scientific hypothesis tends to have certain charteristics:
•Makes claims about the real world which can in principle be known
•Falsifiable - There is the possibility of finding evidence which would refute the hypothsis.
•Occam - The hypothesis is as “simple” (in some sense) as it can be while still accounting for all the facts.
•not ad hoc - the hypothsis came before the evidence was known
A question of whether a given hypothesis is scientific is a different question, however, from asking if it is true.
A true hypothesis will tend to have other charteristics:
•Method - investigated via the scientific method.
•Replicated - The same results have been found by other reseachers
•not falsified - There is not evidence which undermines the hypothesis
There are also proxy indicators which may lead a lay observer to have reasonable confidence a given hypothsis is true and scientific:
•Widely accepted by scientists
•Does not conflict with widely accepted science
•Results which confirm the hypothesis are published in peer reviewed publications
•There is no better confirmed hypothesis
There is, in my view, no magic bullet test which will always differentiate science from non-science, just as there is no magic bullet test to determine if something is true. Each of these criteria are neither necessary nor suffcient to gaurentee a given hypothesis is true or scientific. There are grey areas in both the label “true” and the label “scientific.” It is criteria such as these, coupled with plain old reason, which makes something scientific.
By reason, I mean to look at criteria which are relevant to the hypothesis. It is unreasonable to expect that an astronomical hypothesis about a supernova (a rare event) should be replicated by fifteen supernovae (sp?) before it belived. Simmilarly, the fact that a scientist revises a hypothesis in light of new data once is not as probematic as a revision every time new data arrives (but sometimes the revisions seem reasonable, sometimes they do not).
Answering your question preciely is perhaps one of the most difficult questions in the philosophy of science. There are a number of different answers people have posed, and each has it’s proponents and detractors.
Did this help? Probably not.