I’m starting to see that the Republican pre-mature economic openings may be more than a desperation play to turn the economy around… in fact it may be setting up a pretext for easier voter suppression in November. Here’s how it works:
- Attempt to get the economy trending upward heading into the election by pushing for pre-mature end of lockdowns
- If the economy goes up, great, that helps a lot. If not, blame governors who didn’t play ball (Democrats)
- Either way, anyone with a brain understands that COVID cases are going to climb. Downplay the situation as much as possible until the election draws close. The public will buy it, we all have lockdown fatigue, those who haven’t contracted COVID will be desperate to believe that it’s all over.
- Throughout the summer, lean on Republican governor allies to throw up barriers against early voting and voting by mail. Drive everything toward requiring in-person voting as much as possible.
- Then, going into the election, announce that COVID has re-emerged to an alarming rate. Announce that it is affecting urban areas disproportionately (as one would expect). Use this as pretext to lean on Republican governors allies to decree shutdowns through election day in areas that happen to contain a lot of blue/purple precincts. (We’re just trying to protect you! Urban areas are more likely at risk, right? You Democrats love shutdowns right?)
- Of course it won’t be outright suppression… just a pretext to make in-person voting seem more risky, burdensome, and chaotic.
Thus, red states that might have been at risk of flipping are protected by a strategically engineered COVID resurgence that suppresses turnout in precincts that are not reliably red. This is how Republicans make an end-run around a disastrous November election that is impossible to delay or cancel.