[QUOTE=Cervaise]
There’s plenty of other threads where that endless argument can be pointlessly refought.
This one, I think, is for all the shamefaced conservatives to own up to the emptiness of their previously expressed optimism, and to admit that the liberal pessimists were right.
Yeah, that’s the ticket.
[/QUOTE]
Ah no… The liberal pessimists were saying that the surge couldn’t possibly work, that the war was already lost, that the surge would inflame the situation and cause the violence to escalate, and that the U.S. might as well pull out immediately because either way there was going to be a civil war and the U.S. should just get out of the way and let it happen.
Barack Obama said the surge would make the situation worse.
Harry Reid said there was no chance the surge could succeed, and that the war was already lost and there was no hope.
MoveOn.org called General Petraeus “General BetrayUs”, because he was quite obviously lying when he said the situation could be salvaged and that he believed the surge was the right strategy.
Those would be the liberal pessimists.
Evil One’s bet was silly. There was no one on the ‘pro surge’ side that thought U.S. forces would be down to 50,000 by now. In fact, the speed at which the situation in Iraq has improved surprised even the ‘pro surge’ optimists, including Petraeus, who is now revising his estimates for how quickly American soldiers can come home.
U.S. soldiers in Iraq are now in less danger by far than the soldiers in Afghanistan. The absolute number of casualties in Afghanistan has been higher for two months in a row, despite there being 1/5 of the soldiers there.
Now is clearly the time to begin talking about troop withdrawals from Iraq and moving more soldiers into Afghanistan.
On the other hand, had the surge not been followed and people like Obama and Harry Reid won the debate, there WOULD be a civil war in Iraq today, and the U.S. probably have had to go right back in, this time fighting in the middle of a full-scale nationwide conflict. At least now we can talk about moving the focus to Afghanistan. It wasn’t possible before.