I’m going to declare it’s a ‘no’. Anyone else want to make a prediction?
I’d like to say no, but it’s too close to call and polls have been wrong before.
No for me, 60/40 ish. Suspect the polling is mirroring the last US election in calling it closer than it is in reality.
No-voting arlarses will be out ten deep at the polling stations, yes voting 16 yo’s to forget there was something they had to do today.
Hope it brings a clear resolution whichever way it goes.
Odds of a no vote are shortening again according to the bookmakers and betting exchanges, with some implied probabilities suggesting an 87% chance of a “no” vote (it was ~83% maximum last night). Apparently this has been the biggest political betting event of all time, with more money being staked on the result of this referendum than the last UK and US General Elections combined (around £40 million).
“Yes” keep suggesting a lot of previous non-voters could swing this their way, but it seems to me that a lot of those non-voters could also be Scottish Tories who would otherwise not bother voting, knowing the Tories have a cat-in-hell’s chance of being elected in large swathes of Scotland. “No” also hold leads in demographics traditionally known to come out in large numbers: pensioners and women, and amongst those who self-rate as being 10/10 likely to vote, they hold a 5% lead. Still, squeaky bum time though!
Scouser?
“Yes” is, by its nature, a more energizing cause than “no.”
Scotland isn’t going to turn into “Scottinavia” despite what Scots hope.
What time does the voting end, and how quickly are results expected to be known?
Its being “reported” on social media and elsewhere online that Andy Murray has come out in favour of Yes. However, this cant be reported on tv or radio because it was tweeted after 3am(?). After 3am on polling day such matters cannot be reported. I dont know whats more annoying to me; the fact that Andy Murray’s opinion is thought to matter in the slightest, or the fact that hes tuned into a political toe rag.
As I type this someone has just started playing the Bagpipes outside.
A friend of mine works in the English Shop here in Stockholm and so is pretty well connected with English-speaking people. She posted on Facebook today that “Swedish Radio 1 looking for a Scot that likes haggis to go on their talk show at 1500 today. Anyone know anyone?”.
Good to know they’re covering the important points.
Polls close at 22:00 BST (which is GMT+1). The first results are due around 02:00 - 02:30-ish, but it looks like it’s going to be close, so we may not know until after 06:00.
Exit polls I believe can be published after 10pm. We will have an indication of the vote fairly early; with all the usual caveats surrounding such exit polls.
They can, but another forum I’m on has some fairly hardcore poll-fiends on it, and they reckon that none of the big polling firms are doing exit-polling today. The campaigns will be, but that’s internal use only.
Yeah, I’ve also read that there’s nobody doing exit polling too.
1992 killed off the concept of the exit poll for me.
Fair enough. I was hoping we’d get some indication of the results before stupid o’clock in the morning. Or worse; falling asleep British, waking up Scottish.
So was I. I love election night coverage, but what on earth are they going to talk about for the four or five hours from poll close to first results if there’s no exit polling. :mad:
It is in the online mail. He tweeted it just after 1am.
As a Scot I am sure he will be allowed his opinion. Abusing individuals for their valid opinions is a bit off.
It is reported that the last three areas expected to report are Glasgow, Edinburgh and Aberdeen- after 6am and comprising nearly a quarter of the vote.