What brought this thread about was the vote in the house for the Trump budget which will, among other things, cut medicad enrollment by millions. I heard that the GOP can lose 4 votes and still pass the bill. I thought ‘that can’t be right, I thought the GOP only has a 4 vote majority in the house and could only lose 2 votes and still pass a bill’.
Apparently what happened was after some GOP members got pulled to work in the Trump admin, the votes in the House were 218 GOP vs 215 democrat. meaning the GOP could only lose 1 vote and still pass a bill. So what happened in the last few months?
2 vacant seats held by the GOP had elections, and the GOP won those seats. So now the GOP has 220 seats.
But, and this is important, three elderly democratic members of the house have died. All three come from districts that are safe blue seats.
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Raúl Grijalva; Arizona’s 7th Congressional District; died March 13, 2025; Cook PVI D+17
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Sylvester Turner; Texas’s 18th Congressional District; died March 5th; Cook PVI D+20
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Gerry Connolly; Virginia’s 11th Congressional District; died May 21, 2025; Cook PVI D+16
So now the democrats only have 212 seats. The special elections to elect new members in these safe blue seats aren’t until July, August, and possibly November for the 3rd seat.
Here is another thing that sucks. All 3 were diagnosed with cancer before they were elected in Nov of 2024.
In November 2022, Turner disclosed that during the summer he had been diagnosed with Osteosarcoma, a rare type of bone cancer,[91] for which he had surgery and received six weeks of radiation treatment.[92]
On April 2, 2024, Grijalva announced that he had been diagnosed with unspecified cancer initially diagnosed as pneumonia (but which he later announced to be lung cancer),[171] and was beginning a “vigorous course of treatment”.[172][173][174][175] Prior to his diagnosis, Grijalva was a heavy cigarette smoker.[176] On March 13, 2025, Grijalva died in Tucson from complications of cancer treatment, at the age of 77.[177][175][178]
In November 2024, shortly after being reelected, Connolly disclosed that he had been diagnosed with esophageal cancer after experiencing slight stomach pain.[103] He said he planned to undergo chemotherapy and immunotherapy.[103] In April 2025, he announced that his cancer had returned and that he would be retiring at the end of his term.[104] He died at his Fairfax County home on May 21, 2025.[105][3]
This is a real problem. Biden holds onto the presidency despite his mental acuity declining rapidly. Instead of having an open primary the powers that be just anoint Harris, who didn’t do well in the 2020 primary. I don’t know if someone else would’ve done better in the general if we’d had an open primary, but still. Biden’s refusal to give up his power and prestige hurt us.
Feinstein died in office with dementia.
If there are massive cuts to medicaid under the new Trump bill, part of the responsibility goes to the 3 democrats who ran for reelection in their 70s despite knowing they had serious forms of cancer.
So now instead of the GOP only being able to lose 2 seats and pass a bill, they can now lose 4 seats and pass a bill in the house. There is already some pushback against Trump’s budget bill among republicans due to cuts to medicaid and the SALT deductions. The difference between 2 GOP no votes and 4 GOP no votes could be huge on this.
Never even minding Schumer saying he’d vote against the GOP funding bill back in march, making a big speech on the senate floor saying he’d vote against it, then literally one day later he votes for it.
Then David Hogg talks about funding primaries for useless, self centered democrats in safe blue districts (I donated to his efforts for this) and the entire democratic party turns on him.
This is a real problem. We’re dealing with fascism and we have a party full of useless, elderly, sick people only concerned with their own power and wealth.