OK, that I can speak about as I have flown a Cessna 150 in hot weather at a 4500-6000 foot altitude.
The rate of climb sucks.
When I flew a C150 in such weather conditions it was just me in the airplane, not two adult men, and I had, if I recall, no more than half full fuel tanks (short flight, hot weather, anticipated poor performance). Best rate of climb I got that day at that altitude was around 200-300 feet per minute, which is what was anticipated based on conditions (I had planned this out along with Evelyn “Mama Bird” Johnson, a woman with almost as many hours in the air as God, and we determined this could be done safely at the location the flight was taking place). I will also qualify that this was at a lower altitude than Meteor Crater, so performance at that location would be even worse than what I’m describing.
I did, indeed, “corkscrew” in order to gain the needed altitude for my planned flight so the maneuver is possible in a broad sense in that airplane. However, performance was marginal - there was little spare power even in a straight-ahead climb, a turning climb requires even more power. And I was on a plateau, not in a crater, with a plan to head to a runway at lower altitude if conditions were worse than expected or something went wrong with the airplane (even some alternate emergency landing areas in case things went really wrong), and the airplane was not fully loaded. My “corkscrew” was the traffic pattern of the airport, which is more than twice as wide as the mouth of Meteor Crater.
I haven’t crunched the hard numbers, but in the stated conditions, based on my experience with the C150 (the plane in which I have the majority of my flight hours) even in straight ahead flight there wasn’t enough power for the C150 to maintain level flight with two adult men aboard if they encountered a downdraft… which is consistent with the narrative in that when they flew over the crater they started to descend without planning to do so.
While the mouth of the crater has been given as “.7” miles as you descend the circumference of the crater becomes more and more narrow, requiring a steeper turn to avoid hitting the crater wall. One of the links states the floor of the crater is only a half mile wide. With performance marginal at best, maintaining level flight in anything other than a shallow turn might require more power than available. The turn required would be more than “shallow”.
Given the altitude and temperature, no, I don’t think that a C150 with two people aboard and even half full fuel tanks could have maintained a sufficiently steep turn to avoid hitting the crater wall AND maintain level flight, much less the needed climb to escape the crater.
Now, if they were at sea level and the temperature was 32 F/0 C yeah, that becomes at least *theoretically *possible (although still tight enough conditions to make the maneuver a real challenge), but they weren’t. They were higher and the air was hotter, both of which reduce both engine power and wing lift generation.
Nope, in that particular airplane under those conditions I don’t think a rising turn would have been possible.