Zakalwe:
I do some of my worst thinking at midnight. Please consider my last post “inoperative” (hey, if John Ziegler can do it for Richard Nixon then I can do it here). While I do think what I said is accurate, it can only be best described as rambling pablum that does little to advance the issue. Rather, let’s try this:
The issue I have raised is back in post #88. Your reply is post #111. To edit and post parts of them here comes to this:
First #88 slightly changed as requested:
"I think the turkish position is this:
Was there killing? Yes
Was there a lot of killing? Yes, minimum estimate seems to be 600,000.
Was it centrally ordered? No.
Was it an ugly time in the area? Yes, very much so.
Were others killed besides Armenians? Yes, up to 2.5 million Moslems.
The thing I find interesting is that Turkey has offerred to have a conclave of international experts (please change to read “commission of historians”, gosh what a terrible error) review the entire situation. They have offerred to open their archives for this purpose and have asked Armenia to open theirs also. The offer appears to have been refused and perhaps someone here can explain."
Next, a citation to back this up, link provided measure_for_measure:
"Erdogan wrote to Kocharian in April suggesting that the two countries, which have no diplomatic relations, set up a commission of historians that would look into the 1915 events and determine whether they were indeed a genocide. The unusual move came ahead of the April 24 worldwide ceremonies commemorating the 90th anniversary of the start of mass killings and deportations. It was welcomed by the United States and some European leaders.
But Kocharian effectively rejected the idea, contending that the Armenian genocide was already an established fact. "
Finally, #111:
Can the Turkish President’s offer to form a historical commission be considered to be a good faith offer?
Given that:
- The archives in question have already been opened to a neutral body and Turkey didn’t like the result.
- It appears that his parliament (and even factions within his government) does not support it.
- Turkey has refused to normalize relations with Aremenia based on issues having nothing to do with the commission.
My initial thinking was to follow the path of your first point, but I’m not gonna go there, there is an easier answer to all this. Try this:
Imagine for a moment you are Kocharian. You have had an offer to examine the issue. You know that point #1 is true. You suspect that point #2 is true also. You therefore suspect that the whole issue is a ruse and not a good faith offer.
What do you have to lose in accepting the offer? You will gain favor in the western countries as being reasonable, you are gonna win for sure if it happens, and if it does not happen you will really really embarass Edrogan. Heck, if that happens Turkey will be so humiliated internationally that they may ask for the opening of diplomatic relations with Armenia!
In short, everything to gain, absolutely nothing to lose.
So, why did he not accept?
Regards,
Michael