Well, I don’t know that either war is un-winnable, to be honest. I suppose it depends on how one defines winning.
As for it being equally bad…I’m not seeing it. Again, I suppose it depends on what you mean by bad, but going into Afghanistan was necessary, so that alone differentiates it from Iraq on the goodness/badness scale, IMHO anyway.
If not eliminate them, than at least cut them back and make it harder for them and AQ to operate freely within the country. Both things have been achieved, so if nothing else happens then at least that has been semi-successful to date.
No, probably not, though I don’t think it’s impossible. It’s just unlikely. But even if the Taliban continue to fight from the weeds for a time (and how long could they continue to fight, realistically, at even their current levels?), it beats the alternative, which was the Taliban completely in control and AQ with a safe haven from which to plan mayhem and destruction. Whether or not Afghanistan ever gets it’s shit together really doesn’t impact whether it’s a ‘good war’, or whether or not it would be better to be fighting them there than somewhere else…like here, for instance.
Well, we’ve already done better than Alexander did…or the Brits or Russian’s for that matter. So, we are ahead of the game. Also, we had better reasons than any of them to be fighting there, so I suppose that’s a bonus as well.
We have achieved knocking back both the Taliban and AQ, and putting them on the defensive. We have taken away their safe harbor and pushed them out of the cities and into the bush. We have made them focus on fighting us there than on being able to look beyond Afghanistan’s borders to wonder what other mischief they could be up too. We have also managed to install at least a quasi-stable and sort of friendly government in Afghanistan for perhaps the first time in history, and we’ve done all this with fairly modest causalities (though pretty great expense). Most of the BS excuses for our Iraqi adventure actually work pretty well in the case of Afghanistan, IMHO. And, of course, there is always the possibility that the Afghan government will in fact solidify and become a stronger power and that eventually the Taliban will run out of steam…it takes money and people to keep up their current pace of operations, and both of those factors need some sense of moving forward, some real victories in order to keep them flowing in. It also helps when a major power is bank rolling you, as the US did during the Soviet occupation. That doesn’t seem to be the case with the Taliban, so I have to wonder how long they can keep things up.
As for how long we should stay, I’d say we should stay as long as it takes. The reality though is we’ll stay as long as it’s politically acceptable…
-XT