Saddam Hussein’s strategy up until now has clearly been to stall for time, hoping US resolve will collapse (the UN resolve collapsed long ago). But if Bush and the US government will not be delayed; if they announce a deadline of Midnight on a certain day and have the tanks lined up on the border at T minus 1 hour and counting, what will Saddam finally do? Will he finally agree to real disarmament? Will he say he’ll really disarm, but that he needs just a little more time? Will he try to work out a last-second agreement to be allowed comfortable exile? Or will he fight?
If he chooses to fight, what can he be hoping to achieve? That if the US unilaterally invades Iraq that somehow the entire world will turn on the US? (And do what exactly- pass some resolutions?) That massive use of chemical and biological weapons can inflict unacceptable losses on US forces? That he can force the US to fight a urban war that will cause genocidal Iraqi civilian casualties, and that this will somehow deter the US? That Saddam and company can hide out while guerilla and terrorist forces make the US occupation as untenable as the Israeli invasion of Lebanon? That retalitory attacks on US soil by terrorists or Iraqi agents will actually force public opinion in the US against the war?
Even a meglomaniac like Saddam has to know that he can’t win a conventional war. But does he really think that he might somehow survive?