The consensus of these threads was that currently solar just doesn’t cut it as a viable power source-the production costs are too high and the power density of sunlight is too low for reasonable generation.
Recently the Green Party has been making news by calling for drastic reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. On their website they post their energy objectives:
Everyone seems to say that solar isn’t viable yet. What are the Greens talking about when they mention the “technologies we already have?” Of course the statement above contains the “decent standard of living” caveat. What would be the standard of living be with a solar economy? Even with massive conservation (which heaven knows we certainly can do better) I have a hard time seeing the Green Party as being more than a bit pie-in-the-sky on this one.
I agree with your doubts. Consider solar cells for example. They supply electricity at a greater cost than fossil fuels. But the solar-cell factory itself is run on energy supplied by coal and oil plants. If the solar-cell factory itself had to run on solar cells, how much would they cost? A bundle, I’d imagine.
I strongly suspect that the Greens have in mind something that might be disparagingly called “eco-Socialism”; no private automobiles, high density urban centers with no suburbs, a rollback of America’s consumer culture, etc.
Not referring directly to the Green Party’s official platform, many members of the Party who I have contact with see the following scenario:
Arcologies of high-tech “ultra green” businesses (I suppose they mean Starbuck’s and Apple PCs), limited shopping, hydroponics and greenhouses, and housing units for the droids (err…people) within them. Square footage of space limited to 300 square feet per person (no, I am serious). Banning of lawns and all private greenspaces. Passing of draconian laws to monitor people for environmental and energy compliance at all times. Nationalization of farms, by military force if necessary. Banning of all biotech research (which is so ironic I don’t even need to discuss it). Elimination of the Space program, the military, airlines. Yes, that’s right - banning of all airlines. Dynamiting coal mines, oil and gas wells, etc. Banning possesion of all internal combustion engines of any sort. Banning of animals as pets. Population controls that require applying for a permit to have children, a limit of 1 to 2 children per lifetime, and mandatory sterilization for anyone who does not get a permit by age 21.
The future that they talk about is chilling and frightening to me. One person I went to school with gave a terrifying little speech once about how he dreams of the day when people are forced from their homes by Federal troops, relocated into nice, safe, clean apartment housing units, and their lawns and homes are razed to make new growth forest. And all cars are collected by those same Federal troops, and crushed and landfilled so that we “never make that mistake again.”
Of course, this is two different things. Will going 100% solar and renewable force people into this sort of existance? Not at all. But the people who clamor for one often are the same who have the other items in mind, IME. They don’t understand, or can’t fathom, what a reduced standard of living actually means.
I would hazard that something like the Green Party proposes (not what I mentioned above, BTW) would result in a fundamental, catastrophic change in our society, and may result in destabilization and violent revolution. Anyone in the US who thinks they can easily deal with a reduced standard of living without too many problems - visit a third world country for a few weeks. One where electricity and energy is a luxury. Get used to not having a car, McDonalds, running water, air conditioning or heat, cold beer, hot water, toilet paper, etc - like rural Pakistan.
And to think - I get bothered by just not having Diet Coke.
I would do things a bit differently. I would encourage conservation by any way possible to reduce energy needs by 20% from the current 2001 levels in 20 years. I would raise the CAFE to 35 mpg, but not place bans on any type of car or engine. Reduce what I consider to be the exhorbitant amount of street and public area lighting that is in place right now. Pass Federal Laws exempting homeowners from Homes Association and zoning restrictions if they wish to let their lawns grow higher - say to 5 or 6 inches (we did a study once that concluded an enormous savings of gasoline and reduction of hydrocarbons if everyone in the US could have a 5-inch lawn, rather than a 3 or even 4-inch lawn), or if they wish to plant trees and shrubs. Remove restrictions in place to allow more biomass and nuclear power production. Put some cubic buttloads of tax money into research (not subsidies) of fusion, solar, wind, and super-high yield genetically engineered biomass fuel crops.
An enormous saving in gasoline from an extra few inches of lawn (due to less mowing?), this rather surprises me I would be very interested in any publicly available studies on this.
Genetically engineered biomass fuel crops, are really another form of solar generation, with a couple of extra steeps involved to loss energy in, not to mention that it still leaves you requiring a CO[sub]2[/sub] fixing solution to balance the carbon cycle. I must admit our current solar energy collection systems are not exactly efficient when scaled up, but I personally would rather avoid further issues with the carbon cycle if we can.
Wind power is primarily, another conversion system for solar energy but at least it avoids the chemical conversions required in biomass systems and while it is a very inefficient harness for the energy, the scale would be hard to replicate.
I would also point out that hydro-electrical systems are also a solar powered conversion system. Although these systems have already been heavily researched and implemented, work on the long-term effects of water levels and the management of this, could allow for a further expansion in this type of power generation.
Slightly off topic there is also tidal energy as another possible alternative for the renewable generation of energy that could do with some extra funding to improve its economic viability.
In the mean time conservation is defiantly the best bet.
Remember that most devices with a display (e.g. video recorders, TVs, set top boxes, etc) draw power continuously unless disconnected from a power source.
I like most Utopians rely on being in power and thus less inhibited by the rules set in place for the common good. How else can we effectively monitor everyone if we can’t get from place to place quickly? Its all for your own good really!
Well, the only one I know of was the one I was given to read, and it was proprietary.
The real problem is my definition of “enormous”, which I see was misleading in this context. It made the following assumptions of:
A baseline of all corporate and residential lawns being trimmed to a 3 inch height upon reaching a 5 inch height (4 inch average height).
A new standard of being trimmed to a 3 inch height upon reaching a 7 inch height (5 inch average height)
Assumed a baseline 2.5 mows per lawn in April and May, 2/month in June - September, and one in October and one in March.
Assumed a new value of 1.5 mows per lawn in April and Maw, 1/month in June - September, none in October and March.
(net savings - 8 mows/year)
Assumed average homeowner has 0.7 gallon used per mow.
Assumed 50 million lawns mowed in this fashion (lawn equivalents - included corporate frontage)
Thus, ended up with a savings of 80.750,000,000 = 280,000,000 gallons of gasoline a year - more than a quarter billion a year.
Of course, I may be misremembering numbers here…but the amount of fuel used for lawn mowing is pretty substantial in some cities. Here in Johnson County, it is not unusual at all to find most of my co-workers mowing once/week from April-June, and twice/month until nearly Winter. This does not account for gas weedeater usage either.
Don’t forget any transformers left plugged into the outlets, even if the device being powered is completely off. You can test this by plugging your Walkman into the outlet while off, then feeling the heat after an hour or so coming from the power converter. That heat is from the losses of the AC current in the transformer coils - even with the device completely off.
These losses are small, but there are a lot of them. I know of no “official” estimates on a National scale, only a WAG that they may amount to “1 to 3 percent” of the overall electrical usage of the US.
How much is 1 to 3 percent worth? Ask California, where a 1.5% margin triggers a Stage 3 alert…
Good info, Anthracite. I’m a new home owner (September, 2000) and will try letting my lawn go a little higher next summer. I may need to, as the previous owner didn’t do a good job at upkeep. I know not to get it too high. When we bought the house it took me 3 evenings to mow the first time the grass had been let go so long. It was too long to mulch and the bag would fill up after maybe 200 linear feet of mowing.
Question: I once saw a guy on C-Span talking about his book “Hard Green” which was a defense of fossil fuels mostly. (He did advocate Nuclear, the irony of the demonification of which by many environmental groups is surely self-evident). His whole argument centered around the idea of preserving Green space. This is what environmentalists want, is it not? He argued that drilling for oil and mining coal are 3-dimensional resources (You drill a relatively small hole, destroying a relatively small piece of land and get a relatively large amount of oil) whereas solar is 2-dimensional and therefore requiring much more land to operate.
One stat that stood out in my mind was something like this: “Even with a 10 times improvement in solar efficiency, it would take an array of solar cells 7 times the area of Manhattan to power Manhattan.”
Whadda ya think of those numbers? (The 10 times may be wrong, but I distinctly remember the 7 times number. Give me a break! It’s on my reading list!)
Thanks for the clarification, now for a my next project all I have to do is convince two random populations to follow my directions when it comes to mowing lawns and then measure the relative fuel usage. Now where did those grant application forms go? Oh well in the meantime you could always look into our solution and use sheep.
Heck, just get one group to use those old push-mowers. It’s not too bad as long as the yard is under 1/4 acre or so, and it provides a good workout in addition to saving a lot of gas (and the accompanying emissions, not inconsiderable when one thinks about how inefficient those lawn mower engines are).
Just don’t give the 5" idea to the golf courses! I can barely get out of the rough now! If they go to championship length on the roughs for normal play, it’ll be war I tell you!
Why does biomass fuel introduce a need to “balance the carbon cycle”? If you grow a crop and burn it, it releases the same amount of carbon during combustion as was fixed during growth. A little less, if there are roots and stumps left behind. Are you referring to CO[sub]2[/sub] emissions from transport of the fuel, or other secondary effects?
On the subject of lawns, another big climate change issue is anaerobic decomposition of lawn cuttings; methane is a much more potent greenhouse gas than CO[sub]2[/sub].
The biggest problem with this is time scales, it takes a lot long for a plant to fix the CO[sub]2[/sub] from the air than it does for combustion to re-introduce it.
This means that to balance the cycle you need a total crop size of approximately biomass combusted*(the time taken to grow the biomass/time taken to combust the biomass), in order for the CO[sub]2[/sub] absorbed per hour to equal the CO[sub]2[/sub] produced per hour.
This is still a very simplistic picture of the carbon cycle and there are several other factors that affect it. However the total amount of carbon fixing biomass would always need to be much larger than the production biomass to balance the system, and even then there are a couple of other pollutants that tend to arise from the combustion of biomass that need to be taken care of.
See Anthracites post in here to see what the experts say on this.
To return to the OP, the claims made by the Green Party are correct, but very misleading. Yes, we could supply all of the nation’s current power needs with current solar technology… Just cover all of Arizona with solar panels. Of course, making that many solar panels would itself require significant energy, far over and beyond our current usage levels.
With efficient collectors, solar power would, in fact, be viable, but we don’t have them yet. If the Greens want more research money to go towards developing efficient collectors, well, I’m all for that, but until then, it’s a bit premature to be setting deadlines for adoption of such techniques.
As much as I love fuel cells, pantom, they’re not an answer to this problem. They just rearrange the variables, and improve efficiency in a few places. You still have to make fuel for them somehow, which requires energy from some other source–be it fossil, nuclear, solar, biomass, or what-have-you. Then you have to transport the fuel, which cuts into your efficiency gains a bit.
Barring major advancements in solar or (local) fusion power, I suspect that we’re going to be forced to use more fission power. I don’t like the idea much, as it produces such nasty by-products, but the fossil fuel supply is limited, and we don’t have any other technology efficient enough to take up the slack when the supply dwindles.
I’m not sure I get you. Fuel cells use chemical reactions to create energy, and their main byproduct is water, with a little bit of maybe something else thrown in (I think). So, for solving global warming, I would think they’d be quite useful, as they throw off no CO2. Their much higher efficiency means you’re transporting way less fuel than you would otherwise be, meanwhile.
Also, let’s not forget rechargeable batteries. Advances are being made every day here as well, and this too will increase the efficiency of the things we use.
True, for fuel cells that are fed pure hydrogen, which is way expensive. Most of the fuel used in fuel cells is hydrocarbon in nature; be it propane, natural gas, kerosene, diesel fuel, and sometimes methanol or ethanol.
These things all contain carbon, which result in CO[sub]X[/sub] emissions.
The largest operational fuel cell in my vicinity powers the very large US Postal Service facility in my city. It came on line last fall, produces 0.8MW IIRC, and is fueled with diesel.
Also, let’s not forget rechargeable batteries. Advances are being made every day here as well, and this too will increase the efficiency of the things we use.
Rechargeable batteries still take power to recharge. There is always some loss so it takes more power to charge them than you receive .
Here is where solar chargers come into use. They do not draw power from the grid.
As was said before - you are thinking of hydrogen fuel cells only. And where does the hydrogen come from? And how much does it cost?
Most large-scale plans to use fuel cells are focusing on methane, alcohol, diesel, and gasoline as the fuels for the fuel cells - all of which will produce almost as much CO[sub]2[/sub] being burned in a fuel cell as being burned in a 1964 Dodge Dart.
OK…first, what do rechargeable batteries have to do with anything? Are you referring to using solar chargers, or…?
Second - you would be surprised to find that many new appliances are already pretty darned efficient, relative to their maximum possible efficiency. The key is using less of these already pretty efficient devices.
The Ex-SO, for example, somehow needed to turn on and leave on 8 100-W lights, a heating blanket, a 200 W TV, and her computer before leaving for work today. Why? Because she is careless and of course does not pay the electric bill. She also is setting the furnace to 76 F, even though I want it now at 68 F ($600 in gas bills in two months made me do that). But, of course, she does not pay the gas bill either. If my water heater was electric, I’d take a wrench and shut the gas off to the whole damn house - that would show her.
I’m sorry…what were we talking about?
And honkeytonkwillie - CO[sub]x[/sub]? Shame on you!
To “balance the cycle” you just need to grow the amount of biomass that you burn!
Think about it: you plant an area with a fuel crop such as willow, for example. After three years you can take your first harvest, and then you can coppice each year thereafter for chipping and burning. This is a more-or-less steady state situation, where the amount of carbon fixed each year is the same as the amount released in combustion.
Unless you’re thinking of burning old-growth forest or something, the carbon economy of any fuel crop is going to be similar to what I have outlined. Better, in the case of annual crops.