I think you think my judgment is clouded because I don’t agree with anything you’ve said.
I understand what you have proposed and I truly think there is no possible upside to the idea, as I’ll further explain in a minute. Asking me to discuss the upsides of the plan is like asking me to discuss the upsides of a US invasion of Iran: I can’t.
I don’t understand what you mean by “bait and switch.” What, precisely, have I baited and switched?
Anyway, let me lay out my views as clearly as I can:
1.) It is a problem that DC has no voting representation. However, the plan you propose is a band-aid that suffers from several fatal flaws: the Democrats do not have control of the House and might not have control of the House for many years due to gerrymandering; making the proposal moot. And even if Dems took the House, DC would lose their voting member under this plan if Republicans ever took over the House again.
2.) Even you aren’t totally convinced of the legality of a non-Member Speaker getting a vote. You stated that St. Cad made some interesting arguments, and you can’t provide an expert cite for what you’ve argued.
3.) Other than DC representation, I’ve not convinced there is a problem. You have shown that African American turnout decreases during off-year elections, but as I stated before, comparing presidential election years to non-presidential election years doesn’t really show anything. If African-American voter turnout decreases during off-year elections during the Obama Administration, what exactly is being proven anyway? Why would Speaker Norton turn out African Americans in off-year elections if President Obama doesn’t have the same effect?
Also, there doesn’t seem to be any issue with African American support of Democratic candidates, black or white. Hillary Clinton has about the same level of approval among African Americans as Obama does. So, what is the problem that needs to be solved? You haven’t established that there is one.
4.) Congressional leadership doesn’t drive voting patterns. Nobody who isn’t in San Francisco is voting for Pelosi to be Speaker again. Nobody who isn’t in Ohio is voting for Boehner to be Speaker again. People fucking HATE Congress, and congressional leaders drive people to the polls for the purposes of voting AGAINST Congress, not for its leadership. Look at congressional leaders’ approval ratings: Boehner is at 37%, Reid is at 33%, Pelosi is at 39%, and McConnell is at 35%.
The idea that Speaker Norton would get people to turn out to vote is totally contrary to how people view Congress: in general, voters like their own representative and hate everyone elses, and don’t like congressional leaders at all.
5.) No matter how you slice it, the plan will backfire. As I’ve said before: no matter whether you strip the Speaker of power before appointing Norton, or after; people will see that an African American has been appointed as a figurehead for what had been one of the most important offices in the US Government that has been neutered.
6.) I think it is a mistake to think that African American voters only get excited about black candidates. Not only do I think that it is patronizing, I don’t think it’s particularly true. Bill Clinton had consistently high approval among African Americans because he favored good policies, not because of the color of his skin.
7.) Nobody wants to see Norton as Speaker. She’s unknown nationally, it appears she doesn’t even have a leadership PAC to raise money for Democratic candidates: so while Steny Hoyer raises a couple million bucks each cycle for Dems in close races, Norton doesn’t have the same draw (and doesn’t even seem to bother).
8.) There’s no point in creating “political symmetry” between the House and Senate leadership structures. The current power structure has been mostly in place (with some evolution) for about a century, and I truly see no point in fixing something for which I can’t see any substantive problem.
The only benefit I can see for the plan is that it might get some people to pay more attention to DC voting rights, but honestly very few people outside of DC will ever care very much; and as I explained, the plan isn’t actually a solution to the issue.