State of Florida vs. George Zimmerman Trial Thread

Did you read the case I recommended to you, by chance?

There was no fight. Just a one sided attack.

Actually, not at all, it is an inference, which is a critical distinction, as inferences are indispensable to an effective criminal trial.

This is a hugely important thing to understand, both in the trial and in these threads. Which is why I posted about it before. It’s really good stuff, actually, read it. Then, when you are tempted to dismiss something as “speculation”, check the definitions. Or if you are tempted to just make some good guesses about maybes to fill in big blanks, consider the definition of “inference”. For extra credit, consider the definition of “adverse inference”.

I offer the following from all over the place and I invite you to do your own research into the topic. All emphasis is, of course, mine.

"

This last quote speaks directly to what I mentioned to Richard about appeals, the “deference” to the factfinder’s found facts. In this case, the part about a plausible opposition is obviously self-defense, but it also qualifies as a case with numerous explanations, which may prevent setting aside deference to the factfinders findings:

The bonus round: Adverse Inference:

So we can go back and look at all the various theories put forth and see which ones are actually

Fact, inference, adverse inference, or speculation?

Prediction: many assertions that the conclusions drawn are not rational, so they don’t qualify as true inferences and are therefore demoted to being speculation.

POV. It’s a bitch.

Not yet, but I definitely will. Shouldn’t even be here doing this at all, I have SO much critically important stuff I’m supposed to be doing that I’m using this to avoid…Definitely definitely will, though.

Good shitting christ learn to summarise.

**Final clarification: **
From the facts as I understand them from direct examination of evidence made available online I have drawn inferences that lead me to a sincere belief in Zimmerman’s guilt as defined by law and my current understanding of it. If I have doubt, it is so minor as to be undetectable. I would, under that circumstance, vote to convict.

I respect what I’m hearing from a cross section of observers, the overall impression of the prosecution is that they have made many major blunders and done a poor job af articulating their position clearly. I have also observed in some of the evidence, such as interviewer’s questions, what I consider stupid omissions and errors. Taken together with what parts of the trial I have watched, I accept that the prosecution has done a really crappy job of making the case and I believe the jury will likely acquit because of that, and not because it was never possible to make a good case to begin with.

Oh I know how, and I’d love to be able to. But experience has proven that the more that gets left out, assumed as understood, left unexplained, the easier it is for people to ignore, distort and mischaracterize.

In the case of sharing information, well, again, I figure if given the chance to understand it by being offered multiple and varied expressions of it, something is bound to resonate and sink in.

I am a prisoner of eternal hope.

I’ve actually been involved in many criminal cases. No, you were speculating.

Hmmmm…

Thank you very much for making an attempt to answer the question. Much appreciated.

It is in fact a reasonable possibility (if not examined too closely, of course) that this was something he actually did. (Which specific house are you referring to? There was a single house? When did that emerge as a fact? If so, do we know which house it was? I figure it had to be one of the houses in that first section of Twin Trees Lane just inside the entrance, because that’s the only place he could have observed Martin looking at any specific house, and that would mean he was right where the cops would be entering so why didn’t he just tell the operator that: “I’ll be just inside the entrance, have them call if I miss seeing them come in”? Of course there’s also the fact that what he actually did say he did was continue to Retreat View Circle before coming back. He even walked it all out for the cop in the re-enactment, so it’s hard to come up with a reason why he would have left it out. Then considering the shit he got from Serino and Singleton about what he did after the NEN call it becomes pretty much impossible to believe he wouldn’t have simply told them that he did that…unless he’d have to then explain being back at the T later, and why would he have done that…?

Hmmmm. So I am trying to figure out a couple of things. First, this really doesn’t answer the question I asked. You offer your speculation about what he actually did, but if that was what he intended to do, why not tell the operator that, which was my actual question? What prevented him from telling the operator where he would be, especially since he would be right there where the cops came in? “I’m going to check on the neighbor whose house the guy was looking at, right by the entrance. I’ll see them arrive and if I don’t have them call, I’ll be right there.”

Secondly, you say it fits the facts. I can’t figure out which facts you think it fits. In reality, it totally screws up the facts as he has claimed them to be: if he goes back out on Twin Trees to check (which?) house, then…why is he back at the T where Martin purportedly attacks him? He’d have to double back. Why would he do that, other than to look for Martin?

Since this does not answer the question, we are still left with the reasonable inference derived from the facts that does answer the question: he intended to continue to look for Martin, and if he found him he intended to prevent him from “getting away” if he had to, until the cops had a chance to get there.

With that reasonable inference of his likely intentions, derived from the evidence of GZ’s words, it is also reasonable to infer that that he did exactly what he intended to do: found Martin (or perhaps was found by him while he was looking for him, at this point it doesn’t matter, since we have a solid evidence-based inference about GZs intentions and we have no evidence at all from which to infer anything about Martin’s. Inferences must be reasonable and derived from evidence, no speculation allowed ), had the “why are you following/what are you doing” exchange, then made some movement towards preventing Martin from “getting away”. This (unspecified movement intended to delay/detain Martin) was received very poorly by him, and that is what led to the punch that Zimmerman claims, which then became an altercation/fight/pursuit. (And if we find Jeantel’s testimony credible, we have supporting evidence for that as well.) That would mean that Martin was defending himself against Zimmerman’s threat. Making Zimmerman the aggressor. Who deliberately left out the looking for/detaining part of his tale, something which, if he could have left it in without implicating himself in a criminal act, would have given a very reasonable explanation for why Martin would punch him, something this story desperately needed. Instead he had to say that Martin pretty much just punched him out of the blue, and that simply isn’t believable or reasonable. Oh, and this also explains his defense’ scrambling to come up with some kind of evidence to suggest that Martin was an out of control violent kid who would behave in this fundamentally unbelievable and unreasonable manner.

Anyone else want to take a shot?

Post 1390.

And yet…

Even if he intended to do that, he still had the right to defend himself after Martin came and found him, and beat him.

Zimmerman could, in fact, have been hunting down Martin with intent to murder him, and still have been entitled to defend himself. There’s no getting round the fact that Martin did not allow Zimmerman to escape, but was on top of him and beating him. If that beating was sufficient to cause Zimmerman to fear death or serious injury - and a beating that has already caused serious injury would be - he was entitled to shoot Martin even if he was the aggressor.

Not that it’s remotely plausible that Zimmerman was the aggressor, what with knowing the police were on their way, but it means that even the ridiculously implausible theories that nonetheless fit the facts show him to be not guilty.

In relation to your post, evidence.

Really? All you got is “I say so”?

My inference:

The evidence leading to the inference:

[ul]
[li]Evidence: GZ immediately got out of his car to go after Martin when he made the statement about assholes getting away.[/li][li]Evidence: he admitted to the operator that that is precisely what he was doing.[/li][li]Evidence: Jeantel testified she heard Martin say “get off me”[/li][li]Evidence:(which may not have gotten to the jury, but I’m not arguing that this will be the jury’s finding, Bricker asked Richard for the malice element to support his plausible scenario for M2 and this was my offering. You have asserted that my inference is actually speculation so this is proving you are mistaken.) GZ has multiple incidents in his past indicating problems with violence, anger and impulse control.[/ul][/li]
You are certainly free to disregard my inferences, of course. But you are mistaken to call them speculations.

The speculation happens when the actual incident took place. You know, the part that actually counts. The evidence as presented in trial supports Zimmerman’s story. The prosecution has done a piss poor job off proving otherwise. The burden of proof is on them. You have speculation due to the “fact” that Zimmerman is a liar liar pants on fire. And so is anyone that the defense might call. I know you try to break google and somehow your wall of text proves something but your inference posts were nothing new. Even ignoring the fact that you used some examples from civil law. How else do you think circumstantial cases are made? But the dots have to be connected. Show how they have been in this trial. And show how the defense has not countered any prosecution argument to the point of reasonable doubt.

Because reasonable doubt is an individual’s personally experienced doubt after actually hearing the evidence and deliberating. Reasonable doubt is something which the defense wishes to trigger in the individual juror’s minds, it isn’t something that has to be conceded as existing independently, leading to acquittal even though the jurors don’t really have any:

Foreperson: Well, are we all agreed that the professor did it in the kitchen with the candlestick?

**4 jurors: **Yes!

5th juror: Yes, but what about that theory that the defense brought up, the evidence that could mean that Col. Mustard did it in the conservatory with the knife? I mean, it seems like a reasonable person could possibly believe that it really happened like that.

**Foreperson: **Sure, I can see how someone might believe it, but ***I ***don’t believe it. Just because someone else could doesn’t mean I do, and I don’t. I’m ***absolutely sure ***about the professor in the kitchen. The candlestick part..maybe not. But the professor? 100% certain. And the rest of you?

**Juror 1:**I’m entirely certain it was the professor in the kitchen with the candlestick, no doubt at all. But I do understand how someone else could be uncertain when they consider the Col. Mustard evidence. It just doesn’t sway me one bit.

Juror 2: Juror 1 said it all for me. No questions left in my mind.

**Juror 3: **Are you kidding? Alright, the mustard evidence isn’t as nutty as aliens, but if the professor did NOT do it, I’ll eat my hat. Guilty fucker.

**Juror 4: **The professor is a sick sonofabitch, beating someone to death in a place where people eat…tsk… I WISH it was the Col., I didn’t like him at all…

**Juror 5: **No, I know it was the professor, the evidence convinced me completely. I just thought it was possible for someone to believe the stuff about the Col. is all.

Foreperson: Fuck, you’re right… I guess we have to vote not guilty and let that asshole off the hook. Damn defense and their clever ploys…

No, don’t think so…yikes.

I don’t disagree at all that there are things which some people would find actually do prevent them from feeling comfortable with convicting Zimmerman. Absolutely! But I notice a lot of people talking about reasonable doubt as though it works in the way I showed above, that if some people could be persuaded to doubt, then nobody can convict (which of course is the case within the jury itself, I’m referring to some/ no one generally). You must realize cannot possibly be the standard, or almost no one would ever be convicted at all.

So you don’t have to keep arguing that good arguments can be made which reasonable, intelligent people would find so persuasive that even though they mostly think Zimmerman is guilty, they would have real doubts. I know that perfectly well, I do not need convincing and never did!

MY argument is that there is enough (again, perhaps not in the official evidence, just in the real world evidence…) to convince equally reasonable, intelligent people that as possible as something else might be, they are very comfortable in being certain that Zimmerman is guilty of murder.

Which is why I have been saying that I would vote to convict, and there wouldn’t be anything wrong with that. (Assuming, again, that I got all the information) Almost all of the stuff that has been held up as being “textbook reasonable doubt”, as you put it, is stuff which is entirely within the province of the jury to decide whether it is true or believable. They can look right at the evidence and say “Very nice try, certainly not outside the realm of possibility, but I’m not buying it even a little.” and that doesn’t make them stupid or nuts or unreasonable or anything else inferior.

The one other thing I will say is that there are obviously some nuances here, which is why I asked Richard about appellate review - the judge having denied the motion and finding sufficient direct and circumstantial evidence for a jury to decide, if they convict, what is the argument that it was an erroneous conviction?

Because that’s another thing about appeals and the whole “do-over” assumption people make: the courts of appeal review for errors in the process, not correctness of the verdict. Obviously the appellants goal is a different verdict, but they need to get there by showing how an error in the process led to a wrong verdict in order to get a shot at a different verdict. Nor does the appeals court simply come up with a different verdict; as a rule they reverse and return the case to the lower court to do the process differently.

The appeals court does have the power to bypass all that, but it is very rarely used.

All to say…and ask Richard and the other legal eagles again: what would be the error in the process here if the jury convicts?

I have to go read Bricker’s case, it might shed some light on this question mark.

Yer kinda all over the place with this, and none of it equals my inferences being speculation- you continue to argue as though there must be direct evidence proving every aspect, which just ignores what inference means. (tending to make me think, along with your remark about the wall of text and google, that you didn’t bother to read any of it. Hmmm… I just inferred something about your actions based on the evidence contained in your post!) You also seem to be throwing around reasonable doubt as though it works in the manner I just went over, and it doesn’t. And I say “seem” because your sentence is a little shaky:

The defense has put forth lots of good, juicy stuff that could absolutely cause some or all of the jurors to feel very uncertain about convicting Zimmerman. No question.

But it doesn’t mean that the jury has to doubt. They have no obligation to vote for acquittal in spite of feeling certain of guilt, no matter how impressively the defense has presented facts and evidence which seem as though they should cause the jury to doubt themselves if in the end the jury actually does not doubt. Do you disagree with this? Because if you don’t then we don’t have to continue to argue about it, since I do not disagree that there is plenty on the plate that could cause such doubt.

Hate to wade into such a long thread. Are you asking what could the defense base their appeal on?
Assuming there isn’t some other procedural error to glom on to, the defense is sure to ask for a directed verdict. This is where the judge concludes that no reasonable jury could conclude that each element of the prosecution was met beyond a reasonable doubt.
Assuming the judge declines to issue a directed verdict and the jury convicts, the judge could still issue judgment nothwithstanding the verdict. Basically saying the same thing, that no reasonable jury could have come to that conclusion.

The judge’s failure to do these two things would be the procedural error the defense would point to for appeal.

I will be back to that later. WAY too much time already.