What? Trump will win day-of voting.
Why do you have confidence in that statement?
If more of the GOP who are going to vote have voted early then fewer of those who are going to vote will vote on Election Day. Given that there is still a D early vote advantage (albeit smaller than in years past) a virtually tied result would predict a GOP win on day of voting vote, but a popular vote win on Election Day by Ds would possibly come with a tie on Election Day.
What do you know that the rest of us are ignorant of?
This can be this thread’s song:
In this respect I offer this article:
We see the Trump side trying make it seem like they have won already, and the Harris side “leaking” their “private fears” (tip - nothing being shared with reporters is a true private fear; it is an intended part of messaging).
Meanwhile the polling experts are meh:
And their leadership is telling them to. While GOP leadership is pushing the “we are winning” narrative.
I’m having a hard time with an article that claims that only 52% of Harris voters would be angry if Trump wins. Why isn’t it something like 90%?
I think a lot of people are panicking BECAUSE the race is neck and neck, so that’s not going to calm them down any.
Yes, this. The fact that it’s so close is frightening in itself. Both because it shouldn’t be when Trump is such a parodically awful person, and because it brings back memories of 2016.
Maybe some people think of being terrified as not including being angry.
It isn’t just frightening to me it is absolutely baffling. I don’t understand how any woman, POC, Muslim or almost any group other than non-college educated White men could consider voting for Trump.
And yet they are. It is pretty clear at this point DJT will win if for no other reason that Arab Americans in Michigan will sit out the election, vote 3rd party or vote for Trump. BAFFLING.
(If you need cites of the above I will gladly provide them. I’ve already posted them in other threads and maybe earlier in this one.)
WHAT?!
He literally said he wants to be a whale psychiatrist!!
Religion is a big role. I’ve seen plenty of evangelical Hispanic folks and women here who are all-in on Trump. And many Muslims and people of color are socially conservative and/or anti-LGBT.
In my case, I believe that there used to be (let’s say ten or more years ago) a critical mass in society such that, in response to a typical, present day GOP belief or statement, one could say to the person “are you fucking serious? Just what the hell is wrong with you?”, and the majority of people would agree with that sentiment.
Now, half of the population seems to agree with typical GOP BS.
I do recall reading back in the Gingrich era that the Republicans had problems with running their policy proposals past focus groups because people simply refused to believe they were real.
Nowadays they appear to have manufactured a large population willing to believe anything no matter how absurd, as long as it panders to their hatred.
Again, relative to Trump.
By Trump standards, he didn’t make any major faux pas, and he got his message out to an audience of tens of millions 
I hope Kamala gets a chance to also appear.
Before anyone flames me: I don’t make the rules.
If I did, I’d say Trump should be held to the same standard as anyone else, and any single crazy thing should potentially be the end of his political career. I’d also choose for the rogan experience to not be such a popular show given that it’s choc full of misconceptions and general idiocy.
Who doesn’t?
I’ve often seen the abortion fight portrayed as men telling women what to do with their bodies. Although that’s certainly true in part, the most vocal anti-abortion people I’ve run into are women. If anti-abortion is your main issue then there is a clear choice for you in this election. That includes many women.
I’ve been canvassing for Harris for the past week or so. And I’ve spoken to a lot of voters. Mostly Harris voters, because the campaign is currently in gotv mode. But I’ve also spoken with a lot of Trump voters.
I don’t think “religion” is an advantage for trump. Everyone knows he’s personally immoral. I’ve had voters tell me, “as a Christian, i have no choice but to vote for Harris.”
The biggest issues I’ve heard from Trump voters are:
- Inflation
- Immigration
followed by
- Abortion
- He’s strong/i just like him
The house with the “Jesus for 2024” yard sign is voting for Harris, though.
Without being too precise, where/what leaning area are you canvassing in? Are you trying to ascertain political leaning and canvassing ALL persons, or trying to ascertain/motivate turnout?
The headline is an oxymoron. The US race being nail-bitingly close is a reason to panic. If I were as assured that she would win the electoral vote as I am about the popular vote, I wouldn’t feel panic, as uncommon disasters like that happen every few years, but there’s no need to prepare for them all.
This is more like a category 5 hurricane coming toward you. If there’s a 50% chance it will impact you, you need to make preparations. Worrying is your minds way of telling you that you need to.
Which was easily predictable more than a year ago.
I spent a week in Phoenix and now I’m in Milwaukee. As this is the final days of the campaign, and early voting is open in both these states, i have been knocking on doors on a curated list of likely Democratic voters. (Excluding those who always vote. This is a gotv effort, and we don’t need to talk to the people who have voted in every one of the last 8 elections.) But the curation isn’t perfect, and I’ve also talked to random people I’ve encountered as i walk the streets or apartment hallways.
Phoenix was a more politically mixed area, and i often had only one address in 4 on a street. Milwaukee is more politically segregated (and more racially segregated!) and i often have 80% of the addresses on my list, and most of the random people i encounter on the streets are also Harris supporters. But I’ve spoken with undecided and Trump voters here, too.