The American Coup: 11.9.2020 -

This is my guess. Rudy as acting AG, and then Rudy will try to go after Joe Biden, using Hunter Biden, and filing DOJ lawsuits against states who didn’t vote Trump, etc.

No acting AG role for Rudy. Deputy AG Jeff Rosen will be serving as acting AG.

He can’t make Rudy Acting AG, he can only appoint someone who’s already serving in the Administration to serve as an acting secretary.

So Stephen Miller, then? Or Kayleigh?

This more than anything makes me think this is just Trump lashing out at Barr for failing to him up on widespread voter fraud, and not some plot to launch some kind of last-minute strategy to overturn the election via the Department of Justice.
Rosen’s a pretty establishment guy who has no particular personal loyalty to Trump. He’s unlikely to go along with anything outlandish.

Just checked Predictit odds. Trump still has a 7% chance of winning the election. If you were wondering how delusional these people are.

Yep. There is no plan here. Just tRump pissing in his own pants and calling that a “win”.

That is a win. No one else gets wet.

I fear we may be in for a protracted guerilla war, sort of like the FARC. Ugh.

But he could be a special counsel. Very “special”…

More terrorism:

Nothing more than to reinforce for all the MAGAts and MAGAt Congresscritters exactly what happens when you don’t bow and kiss the ring at all times. Once Barr contradicted DJT about election fraud it was simply a matter of time.

Out of interest, Betfair has a market up for 2024. Expressed as odds against:

4 Biden
5 Harris
8 Trump
10 Haley
12 AOC
14 Trump Jr
14 Pence
18 Ivanka
22 O’Rourke
22 Buttgeig
25 Ryan
25 Holder
33 Obama (M!)
33 Sanders
33 Winfrey
33 Cotton
33 Rubio
33 Warren
40 bar these

I would be curious to see what Betfair odds were for the same moment in 2016 about the 2020 market.

I’m quite certain the list of likely contenders had nothing to do with who actually ran.

Same for this list.

Sure, but do we know any better than Betfair? There may be very high uncertainty, but do any of the probabilities look wildly wrong given what little we do know today? I’ve only just started digesting it, I’m not sure.

I’d certainly lay AOC at 12/1. It think for 2024 she’s much longer odds than that.

Is Oprah Winfrey seen as a serious possibility?

I think AOC would have some issues running in 2024 because in some states in the primary she’ll have to be 35 at the time of the primary in order to get on the ballot, and she won’t turn 35 until after all of the primaries.

Can you share which states have this requirement? I’m not aware of any, and arguably it would be unconstitutional in that it adds an additional requirement to be elected President beyond what’s in the Constitution.

I’m not sure, to be honest I heard it second hand. I’ll look it up.

Can’t find anything for now.

Am I correct in assuming these are traditional odds, and that Biden, for example, would pay $4 for a $1 bet, and that the field is paying 40 to 1? If so, these odds simultaneously give me reason for hope and to be very afraid. The Trump family, Haley, and Pence are the only Republicans at lower than 25 to 1? That’s pretty chilling. Nikki Haley and Paul Ryan as the only two Republicans on that list that are neither crazy or evil is also scary. Seeing Biden and Harris at the top is at least something.

As a side note, for anyone who knows odds making, how would the Biden and Harris odds work out if they were to be combined?