It would be nice if the people responding to this question would actually cite the law regarding “equal protection of the laws”.
I originally was going to dismiss the argument of violation of the 14th Amendment. But, thinking further, there are some precedents. Let’s contrast two situations:
It’s 2018, and in South Carolina, there is a contest for Governor of the state. Up for election are candidates A, B and C. People vote for their preference of candidate to be selected governor. The results are that 49% select A, 48% select B, and 3% select C. As a result, A is the new Governor of South Carolina. Those who voted for B and C are out of luck; they get no “representation”. This is clearly not a violation of the 14th Amendment.
It’s 2018, and in South Carolina, there is a city that is electing its City Council. There are ten people running: A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, and J. Of those ten, five become members of the Council. But, instead of dividing the city up in districts, everyone in the city who votes gets to vote for five members. The results of the election are that A, B, C, D, and E all receive about the same number of votes, roughly equal to 55% of those voting. F, G, and H all get about the same number of votes, roughly equal to 45% of those voting. I and J come in with a smattering of votes, each about 10% of the total number of those voting.
Now, just co-incidentally, F, G and H are all members of the same “faction.” And they challenge the results, asserting (with some evidence) that, had the city been divided up into five districts, at least two of them, and possibly three of them would have been elected. But because the city was voting on everyone “at large”, the votes of those in favor of that faction were diluted.
This, of course, has been held to be violative of the 14th Amendment.
So what about electors? Is the selection of electors more like the election of a governor? Or more like the election of a council? Does the fact that we’ve selected electors in almost all states on a winner-take-all basis for 200 years factor into the decision? Does it matter that it’s never been the case that the people whose votes were “diluted” were mostly from a protected class?
I suspect that the argument lacks merit in the long run. Note that the quoted bit under #11 is filled with rhetoric such as “neither a reasonable nor a rational result”. The argument goes from a decent legal analysis to a situation of presuming the result by qualifying the outcome according to a pre-established preference. AND, it strays from analyzing the effect of the result in a single state (up for valid analysis under the 14th Amendment) to the effect on people across multiple states (not up for valid analysis in this case, since it’s not a country-wide law involved). Frankly, it doesn’t matter to people who voted for Hillary Clinton in South Carolina that that states electors are all going to vote for Donald Trump, even though the Clinton voters aggregated with Clinton voters in other states to add up to a plurality of voters, when analyzing whether or not South Carolina’s apportionment of electors is constitutional. The only question is: are voters who “lose” in South Carolina being treated unconstitutionally by being denied their effective right to vote compared to those who “win”?