Disclaimer: Sorry for the use of quotation marks. The terms enclosed by such punctuation are those for which I lack a more exact word/term. I didn’t want to get too bogged down in semantics, and those words/phrases offer at least a general understanding of what I mean.
That certainly seems to be the logical end to your Democrat/Republican as socialist/capitalist dichotomy, but there is another layer to the puzzle. There are numerous times when a group of “have nots” will side more closely with the “you earned it, you keep it” side of the debate. This is especially true when it is widely felt that movement along the social ladder is easily accomplished, that is when people by the idea of the “self-made man”. Even when no large, easily identifiable groups vote this way, there are always many individuals who will. Likewise, there are those “haves” who feel they have a duty to provide for the “have nots” and that the way they should do this is through government. These people will then tend to support the “class warfare” Democrats.
There are also many other concerns for the electorate including: national defense, religious/moral concerns, civil rights, and the proper balance of national/state governments. These matters cloud the issues even farther, pulling us well away from the view (whether right or wrong) of the split between socialist Democrats and capitalist Republicans. This says nothing of the growing population who see that there is essentially no practical difference between the parties or their main candidates. In other wirds, I don’t think the political debate in the U.S. can so easily be divided.
As for my predictions for the future of society and politics within the U.S., I am a bit concerned.
I, personally, would like to see the ideals and principles of a nineteenth century Liberal state reign supreme. By this, I mean a capitalist society operating as close as possible to the concepts of laizzes-faire governance, in which the full and equal freedom of every person is allowed its run. I would like to see a massive shift away from the welfare state that has been created (I’m sure Euro-Dopers will laugh at that as ours is nowhere near as developed and widespread as theirs). To me, these ideals would also include an “enlightened” view of poverty, charity, and of a “duty” toward helping our fellow man, or at least to those to whom we have some attachment. I am not so naive as to think that there are no problems with a full implementation of any ideology in a practical world, but I think the farther we can go toward a truly free, truly capitalist society the better.
However, I do not see this happening with any effort short of an all-out revolt of the people (which I just do not see happening). Once a set of “entitlements” is created and accepted by the mainstream of society I think it would be an impossibly huge task to remove/revoke it. Our society has developed for at least the last 40 years with an ever-growing entitlement base (one that stretches back about 40 years before that). This kind of precedent and the inertia it builds is hard to overcome. On this basis I see a continual (d)evolution to a more and more socialist state. The only thing, IMO, that would bring us back to a more capitalist state would be a revolt.
With this in mind, I think it is inevitable that the elderly population will grow to be more and more resented by the working population that must, involuntarily, support them. The rates of taxation that will be necessary to provide this support, especially as we see continued growth in the scope of “entitlements” and the elderly population, will reach levels that most Americans would now find unacceptable. This growth in tax rates, however, will be gradual enough that most will not feel the urge to violently oppose the government.
In my view, this attempt to create a stable society will backfire. There will come a point when the burden for the entire social welfare system becomes overwhelming to a population that is raised on the ideology of capitalism and limited government. I see a very real disconnect between the ideas taught to our children and what America is today (and what it may become). If the two are not reconciled in some manner there will be a troublesome trend of dissatisfaction with society and the government which, perhaps, might lead to a destabilization of the very framework of American society.