For a Senior legal Analyst this person know dogshit about tax cases. The Court is very loath to deal out any real jail time for anyone who is contrite, admits guilt, and is willing to pay the texes.
Joe will not pardon Hunter. However, if the sentence is out of line for any normal person, Joe will commute the sentence.
You might say that this was only for the gun charge. This would sound to independent/swing voters like a dodge.
Then there is the story Republicans would weave. This is not my story – it would be theirs.
The story is that the Biden crime family hatched a plan where they could, first, by having Hunter plead guilty, avoid a trial at which the truth about the first family of Democratic Party criminality would have come out. Then, as planned all along, Dad would prevent Hunter’s sentence from being served. In this story, enemy-of-the-people mainstream media is condemned for making out that Hunter was bravely pleading guilty because he knew he had done wrong, when the guilty plea was actually all part of their massive (they like that word) coverup.
Millions of middle Americans would buy this as obvious and true, because so many of us come in convinced that rich, powerful, connected people like the Bidens get away with everything poor people, and the middle class, cannot. That’s why it would be believed and have legs
Did any Trump pardon have a story line somewhat like that? Yes – this link is about the Jonathan Braun communtation. But that story is a bit too complicated, and Trump’s crimes are so numerous they start to blend together. The day Biden pardoned his son would be the one not forgotten.
Democrats could denounce Joe Biden for the pardon, as many denounced Bill Clinton for the Marc Rich pardon. That would help some.
And if that comes to pass, Joe will just have to give up any hope for successfully winning a second term (after Harris has done her 8 years).
And Hunter? His presidential ambitions are totally hosed. Hell, if he asked, I’d tell him he’d have a hard time just winning a congressional seat! In a blue district, even.
Other than that, it won’t matter.
(And were I Biden, I’d pardon my son on the way out the door. Because I could. And when people called me out on it, I’d just give them one of those silent Biden smiles. Maybe put my shades on when I do).
Wisconsin Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson this week speculated without evidence that the federal government could have been involved in the assassination attempt against former President Donald Trump in July.
“The first coup is you take out Kennedy, the second coup you take out Nixon, and then you take out Trump.”
So, he’s claiming that malignant powers within the deep state have been responsible for assassination attempts. That’s nutty, but vaguely relevant. A pardon is done openly. “First, they convinced Biden to pardon his son, then they…” What possible end to that sentence would be interesting?
This brings up another question. Assuming that Biden cares more about Hunter than the future of his party — which he understandably may — should he commute the sentence?
Considerations vary depending on whether Trump won the election.
If Trump won, and Hunter was pardoned, Donald is going to order the Justice Department to prioritize getting Hunter behind bars some other way. But if Hunter was in jail, the motive would be less, and the Justice Department could get away with endless slow-walking.
If Harris wins, Joe could be confident that the pardon would stick. But GOP hatred of Hunter would amp up. Hunter would get more death threats and his security cocoon would need to be tighter. So, while the case for commutation is stronger if Harris wins, serving the time still makes sense.
If Whatisface wins, he’ll come down on Hunter like a ton of bricks if the mood hits him. Why not? Why leave your kid to Trump? I can see the pro/anti pardons arguments though. Maybe just pardon him for the tax thing and let him face the gun charge?
The future of the party has nothing whatsoever to do if Joe commutes Hunters sentence- assuming said sentence is clearly politically biased. Hunter did commit a crime. Hunter should not be pardoned. But the witchhunt against Hunter is political- he had a reasonable deal in place.
There was, as I recall, some unusual circumstances in Rich’s case. He had been offered and accepted a plea deal that involved no jail time, just fines and probation. A hard-liner judge dismissed the deal and imposed a substantial jail sentence, after Rich had taken a trip to Europe. If a prosecutor had thought offering the deal was in the interest of justice, maybe Clinton could be persuaded that pardoning him was, too.
Mind you, a donation probably helped grease the wheels.
Posted here because it’s related to his trial. I’m curious as to why he dropped it, only to revive the case at this point. Was there some concern about it appearing as if he was working in concert with his dad in some way?