I’ve skimmed over a couple of posts, so I’m sorry for any redundancy, but there are a couple of points I wanted to respond to:
I have been arguing that the argument only assumes a contradiction if we discount the trivial case of defining an arbitrary dividing line between things natural and supernatural, or ‘directly experienceable’ and not, which is what you are arguing for there. Again, he may have made the same argument regarding any other property of things, greenness, or fluffiness, or whatever have you; yet, it doesn’t prove the existence of anything, it merely slices the totality of existence into two parts and then claims to have achieved something extraordinary. But it hasn’t, and my assumption is merely that Aquinas, eminent thinker he was, would have been aware of this, and thus not made his argument in this way.
Besides, regarding something you said further down in your post, that there are things that are not part of our direct experience isn’t a great problem for science; indeed, you yourself give an example of things that can’t be directly experienced and are nevertheless very explicitly part of scientific inquiry – quantum phenomena, that hide themselves behind the averaging out of their probabilistic nature. They are, however, experienceable by proxy, just like uncaused things can be experienced by their effects, at least (and are not really part of discussion about reality if they don’t have effects that can be experienced). So, the existence of things outside of our rather narrow sphere of direct experience is no problem at all for science – on the contrary, science is the only framework that can detect and handle those things with any effectiveness better than mere guesswork.
That may well be, but to call this event/entity in any way ‘supernatural’ or ‘god-like’ is to merely define it as such, and engage in equivocation with the traditional perceived meaning of these terms (ill-defined as they are themselves). There may well be an uncaused cause to our universe, and it may well be hidden from our direct experience, but it may also well be completely natural and, indeed, subject to scientific inquiry.
I don’t really like to be a cite-crier, but I’m by now sufficiently curious to see what reasoning Aquinas uses to connect the uncaused cause with god to ask if you could point out or at least paraphrase his reasoning on that.
They are, regarding their salient properties: while it is certain that an unstable nucleus will decay, the exact point in time when it will do so is completely and utterly random, and thus, the decay event itself is uncaused, at least according to current understanding. That the fact of decay is predetermined by the configuration of the system doesn’t impinge on this in the slightest.
This doesn’t follow. You’re merely lumping deterministic and probabilistic properties together in order to get something not ‘entirely non-deterministic’, not to mention that it is somewhat unclear what something even is if is isn’t ‘entirely’ deterministic.
It may well be the case that only universes can arise in an uncaused way – i.e. it may be that there just cannot be nothing, since nothing is not a stable state, and thus eventually ‘decays’ into something. That is not a problem to scientific reasoning at all. Your larger point, however, does brush on one central assumption of scientific reasoning, which is that, in effect, we’re not just imagining it all. We can always assume a solipsist kind of viewpoint, from which we obviously lose any descriptive power science is thought to have; however, this comes at the cost of not being able to form any reasonably robust epistemology, i.e. any and all statements can be equally wrong and true. When you are saying that the existence of uncaused events in the natural world means that nothing can be solidly derived from empirical observations, you are, in effect, right, and assuming a viewpoint equal to that of solipsism in such a way that no robust epistemology can be achieved. This, however, is not a reasonable assumption to make, since so far, science seems to be working remarkably well in describing the natural world, so I would argue it is to be discarded – but I do recognize that one can be of the opposite opinion regarding this, however only at the expense of losing the ability to make any descriptive statements about this world and have an expectation of them to be meaningful.
Well, to be fair, it’s got a vastly better track record than any other method… And, well, this gets a bit into my personal opinion, but I think that only a ‘no-faith’ kind of framework is able to provide us with an epistemology robust enough to make definitive statements about the world, even if there are still some caveats to be attached; here’s a thread where I discuss this opinion in somewhat more detail, if you’re interested.
That’s a surprisingly common misconception, but it’s easy to see that this is not necessarily so – just as the open interval (0;1) doesn’t have any smallest number, there need not be a first point in time, even if the past is finite. Besides, you’re arguing from a point of view that essentially separates space and time, which we know to be insufficient for a description of the universe, so you can’t really derive valid statements from there. (For some nice discussion on the subject of how, actually, our universe may have come into existence, here’s an essay by Paul Davies that, among other things, mentions how it’s possible for time to arise from space, or indeed for space and time to interchange identity under some circumstances.)
This also doesn’t quite follow, mainly because ‘the cause of an event necessarily is before it’ is not quite right said like that. I don’t have time to go into it fully, and it would detract from the thread too much to do so, but, for a slightly intuitive example, consider how quantum entanglement entails the instantaneous change of state of a quantum mechanical particle across arbitrary distances – the cause does not precede the effect in this case (though there is some problem in talking about ‘cause’ and ‘effect’ here, I believe). At least one physicist, John G. Cramer, has also taken this idea further and developed what he calls the ‘transactional’ interpretation of quantum mechanics, where all quantum phenomena are superpositions of ‘retarded’ waves that travel into the ‘correct’ direction from the past to the future, and ‘advanced’ waves that go against it, from the future into the past (this indeed helps getting a little intuition about quantum physics, and resolves certain problems, like for instance the observer problem in the Copenhagen interpretation).
I don’t really want to go into Dawkins apologetics again, but I perceive his position as being somewhat subtly different: to him, it is obvious that atheism is the default stance from which to derive valid propositions about reality, and hence, religion first has to prove itself worthy of being given serious consideration; and that is, in my opinion, a very valid stance (see also my thread I’d linked to earlier). Just for a moment, consider how you would react when I presented to you the whole of Christian theology, without you ever having heard about the idea of a god: naturally, you would dismiss the whole thing as devoid of merit right at the point where you asked me to produce any evidence for all those outrageous claims, and I failed to do so. An a priori dismissal of unfounded claims is not sloppy logic, it is an instance of frugality in forming a consistent picture of the world (this may, of course, lead one down the wrong path; but uncritically accepting every proposition brought before one certainly will, almost all the time).
