No, not this Cuba; this Cuba.
Today Mr. Trump announced that he was abandoning and/or altering various aspects of the previous administration’s stance, including re-instituting a people-to-people travel ban and other sanctions.
So the immediate questions are:
A) Is this, overall, a good idea?
B) What aspects of it specifically, are good and/or bad?
C) How likely is this new stance to be productive; i.e. to effect change that the US would like to see?
Any other points that don’t fit neatly into those 3 questions are, of course, welcome.
I don’t think it’s a good idea. Decades of sanctions had little to no effect on the country, it’s government, it’s leaders or it’s people. I see no reason to think that “we just didn’t give it enough time”.
I think the easiest and longest-lasting way to effect change is to draw them into our economy and our popular culture, as we’ve done with China, for instance. Co-dependence also provides leverage, and it does so by helping people live better lives; “you catch more flies with honey” and all that.
I also think it lessens the US’s standing in the world; we cannot be trusted to keep our word when everyone sees that we will change our stance unprovoked.
I don’t think it’s going to help the Cuban people and I don’t think it’s going to engender a lot of goodwill there, either.
All-in-all, I think this was a mistake and that it will, eventually, come to be seen as one of the larger mis-steps in US foreign policy since the turn of the century.
What say you?