Trump won't be the Republican party nominee in 2024

[JKellyMap]

How is trump still a viable candidate for president? Really, how?

Here’s 538 page for Biden v. Trump polls. When they launch their forecast model – I think probably around June, but possible sooner – these will be the main input. High-quality state polls will have the highest weight (especially if they focus on likely voters), but national polls will be included. (Just to remind everyone yet again: “75% chance of winning” does not mean “75% of the public favors this candidate.” It means, in 1 out of every 4 rolls of the dice (that’s a lot!), this candidate lo…