UK General Election May 2015 (Population Share Version)

It’s interesting. Pollsters are getting it wrong, and not just somewhat wrong, but spectacularly wrong, everywhere. US, UK, Israel - the three last elections the pollsters were off way outside their margins.

If they don’t manage to get ahead of this somehow and find a way to poll close to the real results, they are risking of losing credibility completely and no one will pay them anymore.

On the other hand, it seems that the gambling sites have been a lot more accurate than the pollsters in predicting the final results, in all three of these elections. Maybe that’s the wave of the future…