Understanding Risk

Why in heaven’s name would I waste time demonstrating a claim that you announced you would consider irrelevant whether true or not?. :confused: :smack:

I did ask you to select one or two of your 4 mutually contradictory arguments if you wanted an answer. Please try reading for better comprehension.

You were the one who claimed, verbosely, that stock options were a way to give profit-making incentive to executives. Various practices, especially the repricing of options after a fall in stock prices, make such options have a large component, effectively, of simple cash bonus and less of a component of profit-making incentive. Do you understand that, or do I need to connect the dots more thoroughly?

Of course the dish washer may have moved across town or quit a previous job to work for the employer so she might not actually be as well or better than she started when the business fails.

The problem I’m seeing with this debate is that you are basically defining risk according to your definition of investment risk, which is a fine definition, but I don’t see where that gets you as far as what is equitable regarding compensation.

Much the same way as I can say that I define dogs as members of Canis lupus familiaris, such that a coyote is not a dog. This is a fine definition, but I doubt it will work for me if I try to bring my pet coyote into a park with a “No Dogs Allowed” sign.

Because it is irrelevant. And you have yet to show otherwise. This is also Great Debates, where you are expected to back up your assertions whether relevant or not. You brought it up what 3, 4 times now. It’s apparently VERY relevant to you, why not share with the rest of the class?

They aren’t mutually contradictory. You don’t understand the issue you’re trying to bring up, it’s obvious you don’t understand stock option awards or executive compensation. You dropped that steaming turd in here as a non-sequitur then demanded I address it, but refused to back it up.

Perhaps you’d like to tell us what it has to do with the topic at hand.

Yes, because they are. The have the benefit of offering ownership in the company, without actually giving cash value at the time of transaction. If the stock price goes up, the options are worth a lot of money, and it costs less than just giving stock because the recipient has to buy the stock before selling it. But unlike being given a bunch of stock, they don’t have the same tax implications.

Because they do have a large component of simply being a cash bonus. Were you not aware of that?

They could just as easily give the bonus in a foreign currency or precious metal. If the understanding was that it would be worth $10,000 then they’d probably offer more if suddenly gold wasn’t worth anything any more.

As I showed in my example, if the options were issued at $60, but the stock price falls to $40, those options are no longer an incentive, cash bonus, or profit sharing method. They have zero value until the company stock is over $60 again. You knew that right? It’s not that they are worth less, they are worthless.

If you want to blame the CEO for the fall in stock price, then it make sense to me that he would lose that cash bonus. If the entire market went to shit, but you want to retain your CEO, it makes sense to reprice the options you offered him. You do realize that stock option awards have no value until they’re cashed in right?

I would love to see what your dots actually turns out to be. My guess is Scooby-doo.

So do tell us, what is your issue with the reprising of stock options? And what does it have to do with the OP?

Of course, but all that exists independently of the profit the restaurant makes in year one. All are risks that the dishwasher faces on his own, like crossing the street against the light.

The most important factor that you’ve missed is that the dishwasher gets paid, independently of profit the restaurant makes.

This statement, as made several times before, speaks more towards job security oh which there is none, ever. And again that speaks more to the health of the industry than of that specific restaurant.

The actions you describe are decisions the dishwasher has to make in his life. The point I have to keep making is that the dishwasher will get paid. He’s not moving across town in the hopes he’ll get paid, he will get paid*.

No, the reason for this debate is that a lot of people gloss over the investment risk, jump right to the personal risk of the dishwasher, and then make a claim (moral or otherwise) for the profits resulting from the investment risk.

Look at how quickly someone dismissed the capital put in as someone’s chump change, people turned the restaurant into a tax shelter set up to fail.

Then the dishwasher had to be made a hero, struggling single mom recovering alcoholic trying to make ends meet in this dog eat dog world.

The risks that the dishwasher take, how ever great, will pay off 100% in the form of salary.

True that salary may not last forever, but it’s not set up to. The owner has no obligation to run the restaurant forever. The world doesn’t work that way. Seriously though, how much more certainty can you get than being paid in cash at the end of the day?
*again assuming there is enough solvency.

Your post made it very clear that you didn’t want to understand the point and didn’t try. Fine.

I still believe the following post best summarizes OP itself:

I find this exchange deliciously hilarious. Do you also need me to connect the dots for that?

You are kidding right?

First I said “receptionist” and not “secretary”. Secretaries in some cases can make a lot of money and I know CEOs who prize a competent secretary highly and pay them very well.

Second…Secretary of the Treasury? Really??? :rolleyes:

Third, the point is no receptionists are demanding profit sharing. Who are all these people who you think have no clue and are demanding such things?

Do you have anything to say that isn’t a non-sequitur? Have you read the OP? Do you know what we’re talking about here? Feel free to participate at any point.

I love that you intentionally clipped the end of my quote,
“Resolved: the investor who risks capital is the investor who risks LOSING capital and is the one who stands to gain from that risk.”

Personally I wouldn’t consider altering someone’s quote to be hilarious but that’s just me.

I’ve also been thinking about your issue with repricing stock options:

Consider an executive hired at Caterpillar in the spring of 2008. He is highly skilled and offered a generous salary as well as 2000 stock options with a strike price of $70. At the same, a long time employee at Capterpillar is rewarded for his efforts with 100 stock options also at $70.

A few months later the stock falls nearly 70%, and the options are completely and entirely worthless. The executive feels a little cheated since that was part of his hiring bonus, the employee feels a bit cheated because he worked really hard.

So, they both talk to management and it’s decided that they can each get repriced options. Technically speaking, the “cash bonus” was factored in before the crash, it wasn’t either of their fault, no reason not to honour the original agreement, and reinstate the incentive.

Your post was almost as hilarious either way. You seem a little dense, so I clipped just to make the hilarity clear even to you.

I’m not opposed to compensating employees. Where you seem to have lost the thread is failing to grasp that repricing (among other factors) turns the option into more of a tax-beneficial cash bonus and less of the risk-and-profit-sharing incentive which was such a big deal to you earlier in the thread.

I’m still not convinced you’re all talking about the same things.

I am, however, convinced I would never want to work for emacknight.

So you intentionally clipped my quote?

And you do realize I added the “LOSING” part in response to the numerous times that fact got dismissed. The owner is a millionaire with lots of restaurants, who cares if he loses $10,000. It’s the dishwasher that risks everything taking the bus to work.

Stock option award are a tax beneficial bonus, that’s what they’re for and why they’re used. They also have the added bonus of being tied to profit sharing. I thought you knew that. But they also don’t work if the stock suddenly falls 70% because of outside factors.

If the restaurant goes under, who cares? The evil capitalist still has nine others. It’s the employees that risk losing their jobs.

I don’t mean to take this thread off on a tangent, but why exactly are stocks viewed as “profit sharing”? Unless they pay dividends, I fail to see the correlation between stock value and actual profits. True profit sharing would be more along the lines of royalties (a portion of actual profits), no?

I thought it was bad form for you to clip it that way, too. Deliberately misleading, a dishonest maneuver.

Non-sequitur? How so when I directly responded to your post?

Your whole thread is trying to point out that a dishwasher has no right to expect to share in the profits. Only the owners are entitled to that.

So, where are these dishwashers and secretaries demanding a profit sharing scheme? This thread is titled “Understanding Risk” because, presumably, you think people don’t and you are here to enlighten us. So where are these people of which you speak?

Not a problem. You just try to re-price the stock options already granted or backdate them.

These guys really know risk.

I think EVERYONE understandas what you are saying. I think you are glossing over stuff that other people are saying, mostly because you are defining risk to mean risk of loss of capital.

I think you are complaining in the same vein as septimus and quite frankly, it’s a bit childish. You are asking about literal exact situations instead of just taking the spirit of debate for what it is.

Are there literal-first-and-last-name dishwashers anyone can cite that demanded profit sharing? Of course not. But there are proxies for them who feel what is rightfully owed them. Examples:

Frylock
I’m someone who sometimes finds himself thinking workers should get a share of the profits.

Voyager
The big problem with the OP is that it assumes that only the investor deserves upside benefit. If the restaurant is a success, the reason isn’t that her money is any greener than anyone elses. The more an employee can contribute to the success, the more that employee deserves of the upside benefit.

Chronos
But why would risk be the only thing that deserves profit? The chef might not have much risk himself, but the quality of the food he makes is going to change how much risk there is to the owner. If you’ve got a really good chef who turns your restaurant from being an iffy proposition to a sure thing, doesn’t he deserve a reward for that?

Whack-a-Mole
Workers ARE the company. … As such it is not improper to expect the owners to see that their labor benefits from the success of the company.

Are any of these posters an actual “dishwasher”? I don’t know and I don’t care. It’s irrelevant to the debate. However, you can bet the many dishwashers believe profits (beyond their salaries) also belong to them and the posters here are speaking on their behalf.

If there was a debate about universal health care, it’d be like asking if anyone knows any citizen that demanded a free health care card at their state driver’s license office. WE ALL KNOW THAT SCENARIO PROBABLY DIDN’T HAPPEN. That silly debate technique is just trying to shut down the discussion in a childish way.

Once again, the OP isn’t trying to correct a dishwasher’s flawed legal interpretation of status quo corporate laws. The idea is to argue against the beliefs exhibited by the 4 posters (and any silent “virtual dishwashers” that agree with them). That is the spirit of the debate. If you don’t want to participate, you don’t have to.

The difference between profits and wages is not disimilar to the difference between dividends and interest. There is no moral imperitive, its just that in the past, more of the wealth generated by increases in productivity inured to labor but in the last few decades, it has gone almost entirely to the providers of capital.

They don’t risk the same thing.

The terminal cancer patient risks less life and has a billion dollar hedge.