There were quite literally millions of Iranians protesting the Regime last month, and many of them were chanting slogans centered around Reza Pahlavi. I get that you want an active and visible opposition leader within the country, and yeah, that would be very helpful, which is why the current regime would execute anyone like that.
Right, that is in fact the only claim the article makes.
Do you realize how little information that actually is?
What other outcomes did they assess? Did they assess the likelihood of each outcome? Is this particular outcome one they found most likely? Least likey?
The statements made in the article would be equally true if the CIA found it 99.999% likely that the end result is a hardliner or 0.001% likely.
And I stand by that, I’m sure the Canadian-Iranian guy knows far more about the conflict.