I appreciate your honesty :D.
I’m not an expert either, my opinion on Grant’s campaign to sizeable extent derives from Bevin Alexander, who wrote ( among other things ):
*Grant envisioned the campaigns to end the war as direct attacks with little subtlety. By 1864, the frontal assaults had become extremely dangerous and costly…Grant ignored this reality because he could think of no other course of action and because Lincoln assured him of full support and unrestricted access to the manpower of the North. Consequently, Grant adopted a brutally simple strategy: to make repeated hammer blows against Confederate field fortifications, beating down the enemy by main strength. The prospects were for casualties on a scale even more enormous than had been suffered previously.
…These campaigns won the Civil War for the North when the strategy of Ulysses S. Grant came close to losing it.*
I said as much in the post you quoted in the very first line. Actually I said he essayed flanking movements, which he did. And he failed every time and it ended with him launching a frontal assault. BA again:
Sherman acted far more wisely than Grant in Virginia. After the Army of the Potomac had clashed headlong with Lee in the Wilderness on May 5-7, 1864, Grant ordered a left flank march to Spotsylvania Courthouse. Lee beat him there and Grant assaulted his entrenchments directly, suffering severe losses but failing to break the Confederate line. Grant then slipped off southeastward, ending at Cold Harbor, only few miles northeast of Richmond, where again he attacked frontally, with horrendous casualties. In a month’s campaign Grant lost 55,000 men, nearly half his original strength, and nearly double Lee’s losses. Grant had ruined the offensive power of his army.
and…
- Sherman opened communications with the Union navy and found an order awaiting from Grant to fortify a base on the coast, leaving his artillery and cavalry, and transport the bulk of his infantry to Virginia to help in campaign against Lee! This astonishing order demonstrates Grant’s lack of strategic insight. Sherman’s army would be far more devastating if it advanced on Lee’s rear through the Carolinas than if it were brought to attack him frontally.*
Alexander, I guess it should be said, while praising the tactical ability of Grant ( at Vicksburg ) and Lee, is a far bigger fan of the strategic minds of Jackson and Sherman.
Now where Alexander himself might accuse me of being facile and you may be correct, is in the assumption that unengaged, Lee might not have tried to combine with Johnston, which Sherman feared. Under the circumstance he was unwilling when Johnston suggested it. It’s my guess that with Grant’s ( undamaged ) army threatening but not engaging or only harassing and threatening to engage, the fixation on Richmond would have been his ( and Davis’ ) undoing regardless, but I’ll admit I could really be wrong on that. The thing is that seriously reinforcing Johnston in the face of Grant’s much larger army would have left him open to devastating blow from Grant, that might have actually broken through and ended the war right there. Win-win. Or lose-lose if I’m wrong, I guess.
As for timing, while not irrelevant, it isn’t important. I’m not concerned about what did happen in my scenario, as much as what might have happened. I’ll readily admit the war might have dragged on a bit longer.
So I’m not entirely pulling this out of my ass, maybe just substantially. I’ve read a moderate amount on the period ( the majority of it non-military ), but I’ll readily admit I am nowhere near as informed as some, including many on this board.
But most insipid? Really? Well, alright…but…MOST insipid :p?