Until my parents sell their beach house we have digs in Fernandina Beach, which is a few hours away from the launch site. As we all know, you can get there and huddle out in the freezing cold and they don’t launch after all. So my question is, since I have to take off work to do this, are any of the launches more “sure things” than others? Specific shuttles, specific times of the year? Here’s what’s left:
February 4, 5:52 AM - Endeavour (why is it spelled like that, BTW?)
March 18, 1:34 PM - Discovery
May 14, 2:28 PM - Atlantis
July 29, 7:51 AM - Endeavour
September 16, 11:57 AM - Discovery
And that’s it, forever. Is the optimal strategy to hit February and hope that even if that one doesn’t go off we can try again in March? How long a notice do you usually get that it isn’t going to happen? (I know that’s hard to answer, when it could be anything from weather to a mechancial issue.) We have no mission preference or anything and I’ve wanted to go my whole life and it’s my last chance, so I’ll go to one at any time. (I did see a night launch once from the beach house driveway, which was awesome.) What’s the statistical probability of any of these launches occurring on time?