Week 5 CFB -- Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?

Got me there. I apologize. However, I’m not the gadfly that is making picks based on a hatred of a conference.

Oddly, enough. I’ve always kinda liked Michigan State. Perennial scrappy underdogs.

They have a good chance this year of getting in to the payoff. They’re already in the top ten and they have a decently easy schedule. The biggest challenges for the Spartans are going to be Nebraska and Ohio State. Those are both paper tigers this year.
ETA: Well, Indiana could throw a monkeywrench in there.

Here’s the slate:



====================================================================================================================================

                                                                <<<                   <<< 
                             FlSt  Aub  TexA&M  NotDam  Missi  UCLA  Georgia  SCar  ArizSt  Stan  LSU  Wisc  OhioSt  OklaSt  KansSt 
                             ======================================================================================================
armedmonkey              2                                     UCLA                                                  OklaSt
astorian                 2                                     UCLA                                          OhioSt
BobLibDem                4         Aub                  Missi  UCLA                               LSU   
excavating (for a mind)  4              TexA&M                       Georgia        ArizSt                           OklaSt 
JohnT                    4                                     UCLA  Georgia  SCar                                           KansSt
jsc1953                  1                                     UCLA 
Nauplius                 1                                                          ArizSt  
Oakminster               2              TexA&M                 UCLA
Oredigger77              2              TexA&M                 UCLA
Ponch8                   4   FlSt               NotDam                              ArizSt  Stan  
The Universe Lashes Out  1                                     UCLA
Wolverine                1                                     UCLA
Zakalwe                  1                                     UCLA
Zeldar                   3                                           Georgia        ArizSt                   OhioSt
zoog                     2                                                          ArizSt  Stan
Zyanthia                 2                                     UCLA                                    Wisc
                             ======================================================================================================
                             FlSt  Aub  TexA&M  NotDam  Missi  UCLA  Georgia  SCar  ArizSt  Stan  LSU  Wisc  OhioSt  OklaSt  KansSt 
                             ======================================================================================================
   16                   36    1     1      3      1       1     11      3      1      5       2     1    1      2       2       1  / 36
===================================================================================================================================


What’s great this week is that the Big Ticket game is tonight! And everybody who voted has picked a loser. Somebody’s got to win some major points!
In fact, there’s the chance that two voters could come away after tonight with +2!

Enjoy the games and thanks for playing.

Well, fuck. I’m O for two this week. Both my picks were tonight. That put’s me a -1 overall, I think. Goddamnit.

However, it helps to remind me that this is why I don’t bet actual money.

I heard that!

Heh. I’m 0-1 for the week. UCLA squeaked by with a 35 point victory. :smiley:

Best I can hope for now is to break even with Arkansas upsetting Texas A&M.

Well, it’s too late to vote on the Week 5 Loser(s), but here’s a “probably too early” view of what’s ahead in Week 6. Maybe we can talk it up before the AP Rankings come in.

Predict which games won’t make the final schedule at NCAAF College Football Scores & Game Results - Yahoo Sports



NCAAF Scores & Schedule

Top 25 FBS 

Weeks:  6

Thursday, October 2 

10:30 PM EDT Arizona             @ (2) Oregon   

Friday, October 3 

10:15 PM EDT Utah St.            @ (20) BYU  

Saturday, October 4 

 4:00 PM EDT Vanderbilt          @ (12) Georgia  
 
 7:00 PM EDT (17) LSU            @ (5) Auburn  
12:00 PM EDT (22) Ohio St.       @ Maryland 
12:00 PM EDT Iowa St.            @ (24) Oklahoma St. 
12:00 PM EDT (6) Texas A&M       @ (14) Mississippi St.  
         TBA SMU                 @ (23) East Carolina  
         TBA (15) Arizona St.    @ (18) USC   
         TBA Utah                @ (11) UCLA  
 3:30 PM EDT Wake Forest         @ (1) Florida St.   
 3:30 PM EDT (19) Wisconsin      @ Northwestern  
 3:30 PM EDT (3) Alabama         @ (10) Mississippi  
 3:30 PM EDT (7) Baylor          @ Texas  
 3:30 PM EDT (4) Oklahoma        @ TCU 
 3:30 PM EDT (16) Stanford       @ (8) Notre Dame  
 7:00 PM EDT Texas Tech          @ (25) Kansas St.  
 7:30 PM EDT (13) South Carolina @ Kentucky 
 8:00 PM EDT (21) Nebraska       @ (9) Michigan St.  


From that list, TAM/Miss St, Bama/Ole Miss, and LSU/Auburn are definitely must watch games for me. At least two currently undefeated teams will fall, possibly three if LSU beats Auburn.

That game… wow. You didn’t get the upset, but wow. That was the most entertaining game I’ve seen this year so far. I tip my hat for your ability to pick the ones to watch.

The results:



====================================================================================================================================
                              W     W     W       W       W      W      W      L       L     W     W    W      W       W       W
                                                                <<<                   <<< 
                             FlSt  Aub  TexA&M  NotDam  Missi  UCLA  Georgia  SCar  ArizSt  Stan  LSU  Wisc  OhioSt  OklaSt  KansSt 
                             ======================================================================================================
armedmonkey              2                                     UCLA                                                  OklaSt
astorian                 2                                     UCLA                                          OhioSt
BobLibDem                4         Aub                  Missi  UCLA                               LSU   
excavating (for a mind)  4              TexA&M                       Georgia        ArizSt                           OklaSt 
JohnT                    4                                     UCLA  Georgia  SCar                                           KansSt
jsc1953                  1                                     UCLA 
Nauplius                 1                                                          ArizSt  
Oakminster               2              TexA&M                 UCLA
Oredigger77              2              TexA&M                 UCLA
Ponch8                   4   FlSt               NotDam                              ArizSt  Stan  
The Universe Lashes Out  1                                     UCLA
Wolverine                1                                     UCLA
Zakalwe                  1                                     UCLA
Zeldar                   3                                           Georgia        ArizSt                   OhioSt
zoog                     2                                                          ArizSt  Stan
Zyanthia                 2                                     UCLA                                    Wisc
                             ======================================================================================================
                             FlSt  Aub  TexA&M  NotDam  Missi  UCLA  Georgia  SCar  ArizSt  Stan  LSU  Wisc  OhioSt  OklaSt  KansSt 
                             ======================================================================================================
   16                   36    1     1      3      1       1     11      3      1      5       2     1    1      2       2       1  / 36
===================================================================================================================================

====================================================================================================================================
                                W     W     W       W       W      W      W      L       L     W     W    W      W       W       W
                                                                  <<<                   <<< 
                               FlSt  Aub  TexA&M  NotDam  Missi  UCLA  Georgia  SCar  ArizSt  Stan  LSU  Wisc  OhioSt  OklaSt  KansSt 
                               ======================================================================================================
Nauplius                +1/1                                                            +1  

zoog                     0/2                                                            +1     -1 
 
jsc1953                 -1/1                                      -1    
The Universe Lashes Out -1/1                                      -1 
Wolverine               -1/1                                      -1 
Zakalwe                 -1/1                                      -1 

Zeldar                  -1/3                                              -1            +1                       -1  

armedmonkey             -2/2                                      -1                                                     -1  
astorian                -2/2                                      -1                                             -1  
Oakminster              -2/2                -1                    -1 
Oredigger77             -2/2                -1                    -1 
Zyanthia                -2/2                                      -1   
                                   -1 
excavating (for a mind) -2/4                -1                            -1            +1                               -1   
JohnT                   -2/4                                      -1      -1     +1                                             -1 
Ponch8                  -2/4    -1                  -1                                  +1     -1    

BobLibDem               -4/4          -1                   -1     -1                                 -1  
                               ======================================================================================================
                               FlSt  Aub  TexA&M  NotDam  Missi  UCLA  Georgia  SCar  ArizSt  Stan  LSU  Wisc  OhioSt  OklaSt  KansSt 
                               ======================================================================================================
   16                     36    1     1      3      1       1     11      3      1      5       2     1    1      2       2       1  / 36
===================================================================================================================================


And the standings. I need to go back and figure out who didn’t play each week and indicate that somehow…


**Name                      Total   Wk1   Wk2   Wk3   Wk4   Wk5**
tonyfop                     3      0     3     0     0**     0**
Frosted Glass               2      2     0     0     0**     0**
Nauplius                    2      2    -1    -1     1**     1**
Oakminster                  2      4    -2    -1     3**    -2**
Snupzilla                   2      2     0     0     0**     0**
USCDiver                    2      2     0     0     0**     0**
yellowjacketcoder           2      0     0     0     2**     0**
Zakalwe                     2      1     2    -1     1**    -1**
doverpro                    1      1     0     0     0**     0**
Mince                       1      1     0     0     0**     0**
Really Not All That Bright  1      1     0     0     0**     0**
Snowboarder Bo              1      1     0     0     0**     0**
zoog                        1      0     0     0     1**     0**
basset hound                0      0     0     0     0**     0**
armedmonkey                -1      0     0    -1     2**    -2**
Doctor Who                 -1      2    -2    -1     0**     0**
excavating (for a mind)    -1      0    -1     0     2**    -2**
Labrador Deceiver          -1      0     0    -1     0**     0**
LonghornDave               -1     -1     0     0     0**     0**
Pai325                     -1     -1     0     0     0**     0**
RetroVertigo               -1      0    -1     0     0**     0**
Sterling Archer            -1      0     0    -1     0**     0**
Wolverine                  -1      1     1    -2     0**    -1**
bump                       -2     -1    -1     0     0**     0**
Chingon                    -2      0     0     0    -2**     0**
Oredigger77                -2      0     0     0     0**    -2**
Quintas                    -2      0     0     0    -2**     0**
The Universe Lashes Out    -2      0    -1     0     0**    -1**
Ponch8                     -3      0     0     0    -1**    -2**
Zeldar                     -3      0    -1     0    -1**    -1**
susan                      -4     -4     0     0     0**     0**
JohnT                      -5      0     0    -3     0**    -2**
jsc1953                    -5     -3     2     0    -3**    -1**
Zyanthia                   -5     -1     0    -3     1**    -2**
Typo Negative              -6     -3    -3     0     0**     0**
astorian                   -9      0    -2    -2    -3**    -2**
BobLibDem                 -25     -5    -9    -7     0**    -4**

Good work, Zakalwe. I’ll be working on a similar task and we can compare notes, if you like.

I can already tell that our methods have been evolving and no two weeks look the same (at least in terms of format). :slight_smile:

And another thing: I don’t believe Jeff Sagarin has anything to worry about from us! ( College Football Ratings Page )

Okay, here it is. I also FINALLY automated the text production from Excel. The ‘0’ indicates that the poster did not play that week.


**Name                         Total  Wk01  Wk02  Wk03  Wk04  Wk05  Wk06  Wk07  Wk08  Wk09  Wk10  Wk11  Wk12  Wk13  Wk14**
tonyfop                        3     '0'    3    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                       
Frosted Glass                  2      2    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Nauplius                       2      2    -1    -1     1     1                                             
Oakminster                     2      4    -2    -1     3    -2                                             
Snupzilla                      2      2    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
USCDiver                       2      2    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
yellowjacketcoder              2     '0'   '0'   '0'    2    '0'                                            
Zakalwe                        2      1     2    -1     1    -1                                             
doverpro                       1      1    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Mince                          1      1    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Really Not All That Bright     1      1    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Snowboarder Bo                 1      1    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
zoog                           1     '0'   '0'   '0'    1     0                                             
basset hound                   0      0    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
armedmonkey                   -1     '0'    0    -1     2    -2                                             
Doctor Who                    -1      2    -2    -1    '0'   '0'                                            
excavating (for a mind)       -1     '0'   -1    '0'    2    -2                                             
Labrador Deceiver             -1     '0'   '0'   -1    '0'   '0'                                            
LonghornDave                  -1     -1    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Pai325                        -1     -1    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
RetroVertigo                  -1     '0'   -1    '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Sterling Archer               -1      0    '0'   -1    '0'   '0'                                            
Wolverine                     -1      1     1    -2     0    -1                                             
bump                          -2     -1    -1    '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
Chingon                       -2     '0'   '0'   '0'   -2    '0'                                            
Oredigger77                   -2     '0'    0     0    '0'   -2                                             
Quintas                       -2     '0'   '0'   '0'   -2    '0'                                            
The Universe Lashes Out       -2     '0'   -1    '0'   '0'   -1                                             
Ponch8                        -3     '0'   '0'   '0'   -1    -2                                             
Zeldar                        -3      0    -1     0    -1    -1                                             
susan                         -4     -4    '0'   '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
JohnT                         -5      0    '0'   -3    '0'   -2                                             
jsc1953                       -5     -3     2    '0'   -3    -1                                             
Zyanthia                      -5     -1     0    -3     1    -2                                             
Typo Negative                 -6     -3    -3    '0'   '0'   '0'                                            
astorian                      -9      0    -2    -2    -3    -2                                             
BobLibDem                    -25     -5    -9    -7    '0'   -4                                             


Do you auto-deduct points from those who didn’t participate at all, because they failed to pick a loser in games between two ranked teams?

If not, I’d recommend it.

I don’t object to that, but the scoring is Zeldar’s gig. I’m just the bookkeeper! :slight_smile:

This late in the season it would be unfair. Before we start next year’s polls we can have an extensive discussion of things to change, add or drop.

I’m open to improvements! But I suspect that penalizing people for not voting in a particular week’s poll would be counterproductive.