Yeah, billions eat at McDonald’s; does that mean that greasy burgers and fries are the pinnacle of nuanced cuisine? Popularity is not necessarily related to quality. Also, you’re kidding with that 21-3 example, right? Nowhere did I say that all possible scores include the potential for a lead change in a single event. What I said was that in soccer and hockey, no possible scores include the chance for a single event lead change. It would be as if I said that you could watch all NFL games on free tv and you countered by saying “not if you are watching UPN.” In other words, what point was it you were trying to make that was relevant to the fact that at no time during any game, no matter what, soccer will never have a single score springboard a team from losing to winning?
Consider one of the seminole moments in NFL history: The Catch. What were the circumstances that made that catch so memorable? It was a high throw, sure. But its defining characteristic was that it vaulted the 49ers from losing and going home to winning a trip to the Superbowl. If instead of the win it forced overtime, I dare say it wouldn’t be nearly as iconic a play.
Also, relevant to my point is how that wiki article opens: “In a game where the lead shifted back and forth repeatedly…” How often does that happen in soccer?
Uh, no, there is not “just as much strategy” in soccer. There may be equivalent tactical depth – though I’d debate even that – but strategy? Strategy is an elaborate and systematic plan of action. Do you seriously think anything in soccer rivals the elaborate and systematic plan of action represented by an NFL playbook with over a thousand plays, several hundred of which are activated for any given game? That’s not even getting into personnel packages, which are all but nonexistant in soccer? (That’s a question; is there much strategic substitution in soccer? That’s at least one thing hockey has going for it.)
To use table games as an analogy, there is considerably more strategic depth to pool than there is in foosball. The reason is the very nature of the games; one is in constant motion, which is anathema to strategy. The other resets between each shot, which opens up a world of strategic possibility. Unless you think foosball has just as much strategy as pool?
I forgot to point out in my first post why I think sports fans are drawn in by strategy. It’s a perfect example of the old army maxim: amateurs think about strategy, pros think about tactics, and generals think about logistics. Sports fans are, obviously, amateurs. Thus the attraction.
Much of it comes down to culture and familiarity, but I think there are some fundamental reasons why soccer will likely never become a popular sport in the US. I could see it becoming more popular than hockey; maybe even on the level of golf or tennis. But it will never even rival NCAA basketball and football, much less the NBA, NFL or MLB.