What are the chances that the Republican establishment discards Trump after Tax Reform is passed?

People on this board have been predicting that the Republicans are about to remove Trump from office since before Trump even took office in the first place; I remember a much-cheered post putting forth the idea that they’d launch impeachment proceedings before Obama was even out of office. So I a bit inclined to disbelieve the chain of “they’re going to impeach Trump NOW” comments unless it’s related to a real game-changer, like serious charges against him related to Russia actually happening.

It will take something Watergate-like from the Mueller investigation for impeachment proceedings to begin. The idea that the GOP is going to impeach Trump (and remove him from office) once the tax bill is passed is laughable. Most of the House members are scared to death of being primaried by Trump supporters in the next election like many of their colleagues were by Tea Partiers not that long ago.

And putting the weasel wording “If a feasible opportunity presents itself” has nothing to do with the tax bill, making the statement impotent.

Obviously that statement has nothing it has nothing to do with the tax bill. Did you read the OP? That’s what I am answering. If they get his Signature on the bill he is just an huge albatross, keeping him around has no point. So they start playing the game, looking for any opportunity to dump him.

He’s not a huge albatross. He is the one who is currently controlling a huge Republican voting block: namely, those who are not in the 1% that the Republican economic policies are geared towards but who vote Republican on the basis of appeals to race, bigotry, abortion, etc.

Of course, they might prefer that he were not the one controlling this huge voting block. However, they have made their deal with the devil long ago (even before Trump came along and commandeered these voters) and they ain’t going to abandon it now.

You are off in fantasyland.

I have to agree with a lot of the other posters here - there’s no chance in hell the GOP is going to impeach Trump, short of compelling evidence he personally murdered someone or knowingly laundered money for terrorists (laundering for human traffickers, drug dealers, and Russian cartels hasn’t met the standard yet, but terrorists might.)

He’s the perfect figurehead - he doesn’t have strongly held policy positions, offers no resistance to anyone who does the proper amount of brown-nosing, is completely willing to sell out and reverse himself on any issue, and generally just listens to whoever was the last person in the room, or paid him the biggest bribe.

Sure, he puts an ugly face on all the policies the GOP wants to pass, but that’s a feature, not a bug. When the horrible consequences are revealed, they just point at Trump and shrug. As a vapid, incompetent idiot, he serves as a great lightning rod for the ire of people who get screwed by the GOP finally accomplishing all the things it’s been threatening/promising to do for decades.

Yeah, and back before the inauguration people put forth the idea that Republicans didn’t need Trump now that they won the White House, so they’d just impeach him and take Pence either ASAP or after the first scandal. Didn’t happen then and not going to happen now. If the Russia stuff actually leads to some serious charges they probably will have to impeach him, but they’re not just going to use ‘any opportunity’ to start impeachment proceedings and get primaried at the next election.

No shit! And I don’t even think “serious charges against him related to Russia actually happening” would do it. Someone else would take the fall, as always, and Trump would continue to evade consequences.

Trump succesfully took over the party. Future Republican presidents will be Trump-like, from now on. Now that a figure has emerged who actually says out loud what so many of the Republican voters actually think, the old books have been thrown out. The old, staid, straight-laced Republicans are dying dinosaurs. It’s going to be Trump-style characters from here on out.

Flynn might be the game changer.

I don’t know about that. To a large extent, what makes Trump “Trump” is his complete obliviousness about how government actually works. I doubt that a seasoned pol would act much like Trump or even talk like him. With any luck at all, Americans will learn from our little experiment with a reality TV huckster in the WH. It’s hard to reproduce Trump (fortunately).

I think mainstream Republicans will impeach and convict after the Mueller report is given to them. They don’t like him, they don’t need him. A few of them may get primaried but they’ll still win the safe R seats. Donald voters aren’t going to go anywhere, they’ll continue to vote for whatever pedophile is running with an R next to his name.

This could possibly happen, if they weren’t so cravenly unprincipled. Instead, I suspect the administration is going start some kind of conflict with North Korea, and they will go along with it–and all of it will serve as an excuse not to follow through with whatever aspects of Mueller’s report implicate Trump himself. Attacking Trump will be portrayed as unpatriotic in time of war.

The GOP isn’t really afraid of Trump supporters voting for someone else, it’s afraid of them not voting at all. Especially in a year like 2018 where the Democrats are on track to have higher than normal turnout. I won’t rule anything out, but I don’t see the HOP abandoning Trump before the midterms unless something truly major forces their hand (like a mental breakdown too big to hide). If they loose the House in the midterms though it’ll be a very different story. There won’t be many Republicans sticking with him after he’s impeached.

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