Agree w your points about Plaid & Lucid vs supercars.
Unsurprisingly, this whole ICE/EV thing reminds me very much of the process by which turbojets replaced ICE in fighters, transports, bombers, and airliners. The first jets were very crappy, limited machines with massive compromises that could barely get out of their own way.
Just a few years and a couple generations later they were casually slaughtering all the most advanced ICE machines with their 50+ year development history. Then the tech of jets really hit its stride and continues to improve even now 75(!) years later. It was their teenage, Beta, or at most v3 versions that utterly did for ICE in commercial / military aviation. It only got better from there. Orders of magnitude better.
We’re looking at late beta or maaybe v3 EVs now. Their future may be far brighter than we now think.
I don’t know about that.
The whole point of the supercars/hypercars isn’t exactly performance. It’s rich people playing consumption one-upsmanship. Same as with Patek Phillipe or Feedship. Or front row tickets to world championship events.
The vendors ensure the supply greatly undercuts the demand and the aftermarket takes care of the appreciation as people with lots of money pay whatever it takes to get the thing they want.
As I mentioned tangentially here:
Here in the early days of hyper-EVs there may not be as much appreciation among the ultra-rich frat boys just because as performance machines they’ll be rapidly obsoleted by next years’ crazier performance machines. But among the true collectors, having an early e.g. Rimac will have cachet long after its specs are passé in those circles.