Former F-16 pilot here …
We could slaughter Viet Nam-era and before jet fighters with kill ratios of 20 to 1 using just the gun & our radar. Any idea that an F-4 or F-8 or F-86 would last for more than a minute or so is crazy. There is NOTHING about those aircraft that is even 50% as good as an F-16 or F-18 for gun-to-gun one-on-one combat. If you go for a more realistic guns only scenario but with 2 of us vs 2 of them, it gets even more lopsided. Ditto 4 vs 4.
As to F-16 vs F-18, I’d give the edge to the F-18, but it’s not so one-sided that a better F-16 driver couldn’t win over a lesser F-18 driver.
I’ve been out of the service long enough that I don’t have first-hand experieince in dealing with Mig-29 / Su-27 / Eurofighter Typhoon / Rafale type aircraft. My understanding is the Russians have awesome low-speed manueverability but are a little weaker in fire control & definitely weaker in range/endurance. I’d suggest that they’d be a good match for F-16/-18 class jets, with the winner determined more by skill and/or tactics than the jet itself.
The Typhoon and Rafale, if gun equipped, would be comparable to the F18, maybe slightly better.
As to A-10s… My unit did a lot of wrasslin with them. We called it “Hog poppin’; the sport of Kings”. They are quite hard to kill because they operate comfortably at speeds and alitiudes we don’t. OTOH, they almost couldn’t hurt us, PROVIDED we used good tactics that minimized our vulnerabilities.
You cannot avoid squirting out in front of them on each pass, which exposes you to their gun. Their gun is one hell of a weapon, but without a radar and air-to-air computing gunsight, they’re hard pressed to aim it well. If you sit still out in front of them at close range, they’ll hammer you. If you keep moving, they’ll spend a lot of ammo shooting where you aren’t.
IF they are armed with AIM-9s, which was a new program when I was leaving the USAF, they are VERY dangerous to fast fighters. Absent the AIM-9s, they’re more like a snappig turtle. Much stronger on defense than on offense, but if you put your hand in front of their face, they’ll bite the shit outta you.
Bottom line on A-10s. You can evenutally kill most of them most of the time, but it takes a lot of time and fuel and ammo. Inconclusive engagements were common, where somebody had to leave the fight due to fuel/ammo before either side got a kill. We could withdraw at will, but they couldn’t run away fast eenough to get away. if we encountered them low on fuel or ammo, it was just a matter of waiting until they had to run and then swatting them.
During the protracted engagement which more-or-less anchors you in one spot over the ground, you’re exposed to their support fighters, if any. Circling on one area for very long is dangerous when their reinforcements can close on a fixed spot at 10 miles per minute. Long engagements also contain an ever-increasing risk of hitting the ground.
As to the idea that most combat is now beyond visual range with missiles, not true AFAIK. To avoid shooting down your own folks or innocents, most ROE still require the pilots to see the enemy, confirm his aircraft type, then start shooting. In the real world with multi-aircraft formations, you can send 2 guys out front to ID the enemy and have the other 8 guys well behind hose off a volley of missiles once the ID is made. In the artificial one-on-one scenario of the OP, that won’t work.
Finally, as to bailing out when a missile approaches, three thoughts:
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Often you have no idea it’s coming until it hits. You may or may not have warning that some radar is targetting you, but a radar doesn’t guarantee there’s a missile behind it. Unless you can see it, you have no way of judging the closure rate or whether it’s after you or somebody else nearby. They’re small, fast, and usually aren’t smoking by the time they get near where you are. Spotting one is very, very hard.
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Despite Hollywood & some carefully edited Pentagon PR footage, missiles aren’t perfect death rays. Figure 80% success at best in combat conditions. If I know it’s coming, there are a lot of things I can do to drive that percentage down to more like 30%. Jumping out instead of evading gives the enemy a 100% effective weapon.
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It’s cowardly to run in the face of the enemy. I’d shoot a man who did that. So would most of the rest of the combat military officers.