Playing poker will disabuse you of the notion that success in life comes down to ‘luck’. I still maintain that in the long run, we all get our share of good and bad luck. The successful ones take advantage of the good luck, and avoid the major pitfalls of the bad luck.
In poker, on any given day you can be lucky or unlucky. The best players can lose to the worst because of the random falling of the cards. Very bad luck can even cause you to lose over a period of weeks or even months.
But in the end, put your money on the best players, because they’ll eventually get all the chips.
Life is no different. Yes, there is luck involved, both good and bad. But the question is not whether luck plays a role, but whether luck predominates for the average person. And there’s just no way that it does. In generally, you can predict who will be successful and who won’t, just by looking at the actions they take. The ones who work hard, who don’t quit their jobs at the first sign of annoyance or discomfort, who stay in school, who try hard to please their employers and their families, and who take care to invest wisely and save money, will in the long run be far more successful than those who allow themselves to be buffeted around by the winds of fortune.
In a way, it’s comforting to believe that the really successful people got where they were because of luck, because it helps you explain your own not-as-successful life without facing up to the fact that you perhaps let opportunities slip by out of fear or lack of preparation, or that your life isn’t as successful as it could be because you chose a mate poorly, or because you didn’t control your spending impulses, or because you got tired of studying and taking tests and went to work instead. Or maybe you thought that the co-worker who put in 20 unpaid hours a week for the company was a sucker, and you worked to order and on the clock, and no more.
I’ve been fairly successful in life - I have no complaints. But I can look in the rear-view mirror and definitely see opportunities I let slip away either through laziness, or fear, or indecisiveness. I know I could have done better in school. I spent too many years just spinning my wheels when i could have been improving myself. I could have worked harder instead of sitting on the Straight Dope. I’ve seen people climb the corporate ladder in my current firm, and almost without exception they are exactly the people you expected to see climb that ladder. They worked hard, they were rarely seen just goofing off or surfing the web at work, they dressed well and were nice to their co-workers, and generally made themselves an asset. Sometimes I’ve been that guy, and sometimes not.
Finally, you can’t draw conclusions based on the outliers. A guy who wins the lottery was successful because he got lucky. A person born with Down’s Syndrom was unlucky. And these factors will predominate in their lives. But for the vast majority of people sitting on the bell curve, success in life will be the result of the actions they take, and not the luck that befalls them.