Alright, so after stewing on this for a day - and after having read quite a lot of commentary about the delay in the interim - let me take this time to refine the reservations of my earlier post.
Now, I’m not as upset about the delay as I was yesterday, which basically amounted to a knee-jerk response of deep disappointment. That said, I’m still unhappy that the employer mandate has been postponed for two reasons: (1) on a purely practical level, delaying the mandate is going to make the ACA more expensive (apparently, about $4 billion in revenue is going to be lost next year now), and the last thing I want to see is a bunch of spineless GOPers hoo’ing and ha’ing about the ACA driving up the deficit due to the delay even though it’s STILL going to massively lower the deficit in spite of everything else; more importantly, however, is reason (2), which is that delaying the mandate plays into the GOP fear mongering that the administration is unable to implement the law on time and that it’s doomed to fail and yadda yadda yadda.
The former concern can be assuaged if the mandate is actually imposed next year as planned - and if it isn’t delayed again or otherwise discarded - while the latter worry will only be addressed if (1) the marketplaces roll out ON TIME on October 1st and (2) if the administration doesn’t delay the individual mandate, which, unlike the delay of the employer mandate, would be a devastating blow to the ACA.
Thankfully, neither of those possibilities is seemingly on the table.
And Hell, there ARE benefits to delaying the employer mandate, both practical and political. On the practical side, lifting the employer mandate for a year will insure that more individuals actually INTERACT with the ACA and the exchanges, now that some employers might feel free to offload their employees onto the marketplaces. Consequently, more people will be in the pool and this should mitigate all this stupid talk of “rate shock” that the GOP has resorted to now that the meat of the ACA is only a few months away. Fuck, if I were in charge of everything, I would have every damn employer in this country offload their workers onto the exchanges, given that that would probably be the only fucking way to disengage us all from our stupid employer-sponsored health insurance system.
As has been said already, though, in political terms the delay robs the GOP morons of one of what was surely going to be their major talking points in next year’s election: “Oh NOES! Teh Obummers has forced ur job to give you teh benef!ts. Elect us so we can take those benies away!!111”
I can’t believe I just typed that. 