Hello all,
I was planning on posting an “Ask the guy participating in the protests in Brazil” thread, but haven’t had time. Because of protesting
Maybe soon.
I’m a foreign permanent resident in Rio de Janeiro.
To quickly summarise what’s going on: the protests started because of a hike in public transport prices in São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. However, this was just the “straw that broke the camel’s back”.
What’s actually going on is an economic slump - inflation is fairly high (in May, 6.5% over the previous 12-month period), yet economic growth is near zero. Inflation figures are manipulated by cherry-picking the products in the consumer price rise index - the price of milk has tripled since I arrived 3 1/2 years ago. So, inflation is far outstripping economic growth, and wage rises aren’t keeping up with inflation for most people. The famous economic growth over the Lula period is bullshit - it was a rise in GDP because of commodity exports to China (metals and such). Now China is importing less, and oil production isn’t really taking off because Brazilian oil fields are difficult and expensive to drill, plus there are very few refineries (and ones that were built recently went over budget and under target production - a long story involving Venezuela). Even domestically-produced goods built with tax breaks, such as cars, are absurdly expensive - for example, the cost of an entry-level piece of shit Gol (stripped-down VW not sold elsewhere because it’s built to be as cheap as possible) in Brazil is twice that of the same Gol shipped to Mexico and bought there, and the same as a Camaro in the US.
So, people are feeling they are getting poorer. Increased living standards are fueled by debt, which has skyrocketed, and is loaned at usurious rates. Recently a shop tried to sell me on a credit card with a more than 100% annual interest rate, not counting monthly fees.
If this was all, people would grit their teeth and bear it. But while this is happening, the public health system simply doesn’t work; politicians talk up the public health care system, but if you want health care, you effectively have to have private insurance - which, again, costs more than citizens can afford. My parents-in-law wouldn’t be able to pay the monthly premiums for the cheapest plan even with their entire salaries+pensions, and that’s without preexisting conditions. Other government services are almost as bad.
What then really tipped the scales is that the government is tossing absolutely absurd amounts of money on sports events - the FIFA World Cup and the Olympics. The World Cup in Brazil will cost more than the last 3 Cups together. New stadiums are being built specifically for the Cup. The stadium in Brasília alone has cost well over a billion reais - that’s over a half billion dollars - but the existing stadium in Brasília doesn’t have more than 200 spectators on a good day. That’s far from the only example. So, building projects will effectively benefit noone except the contractors and middlemen - who have ties to the politicians. Supposed infrastructure developments haven’t happened - the infrastructure only gets worse.
Then there’s the endemic corruption - the recently-installed Senate president Renan Calheiros has been convicted of three crimes by the supreme court. Consequences? None. Ex-president Fernando Collor, impeached and removed from the presidency for corruption, is now a senator. The Lula government used party funds to, quite literally, pay a monthly bribe to huge numbers parliamentarians in exchange for supporting them in congress - the “Mensalão” scandal. The government then obstructed the subsequent investigation, and Supreme Court judges sat on the paperwork on purpose so that the vast majority of charges passed their statute of limitations. Consequences for the majority of criminals: none. Now the parliament is passing PEC37, a constitutional amendment to obstruct the investigation of crimes in government - legislating impunity. There’s also work on complete immunity & impunity from prosecution of sitting politicians.
Not to mention salaries. Base salary for a congressman is R$26,700 IIRC, plus an absurd number of benefits. Base salary for a teacher in Rio: R$870 IIRC, plus virtually no benefits. Comparative studies show that Brazilian politicians cost more than basically any other politicians in the world - more than 3 times that of Italy, well over 10 times that of Spain, for example.
So, for all these reasons, people are pissed. But the trigger? A rise in bus fares. In Rio, the governor’s father-in-law owns 30% of the buses/bus companies (I forget which). If this price rise was an economic necessity rather than a way of a politician lining the pockets of himself and his friends, I will eat my own ass.
As for what’s happening now - I was on the streets of Rio on Thursday. The protest was completely peaceful. The crowd was actively preventing activists from defacing monuments or damaging property. When they reached the police, the crowd was all chanting “no to violence”. The police responded with rubber bullets and tear gas - totally unprovoked. They continued firing tear gas at the retreating crowd, who were unable to get away - including myself. The violence has been started by police, and any vandalism after this is a response out of righteous anger. There’s also the certainty that some of the vandals are agents provocateur - paid by the government or police to raise havoc so that state repression will seem legitimate. There’s one video out there, for example, showing Rio police standing idly by and watching as a small group (a dozen or two) vandals damage a public building in front of them; can’t arrest your colleagues, doncha know.
This is the biggest uprising in recent Brazilian history, and I support it 100%. This time it may actually bring results.