He will also get a prominent speaking time slot during the convention.
You should definitely come back and make me eat crow if this actually happens. I will believe it when I see it but until then I am going to take it with a grain of salt.
Those delegates will populate the platform committees and their views will be reflected in the party platforms.
I doubt there will be an indictment, but with Hillary some kind of scandal could arise, and if nothing else the GOP will trot out the long list of Clinton scandals in the general election if Hillary gets the nod. It will be an effective strategy because even though there is a lot of fiction in that list there is plenty of fact also. Now, when I say ‘effective’ I don’t mean that will necessarily lead to the defeat of Clinton if she’s the candidate, but it will likely decrease turnout and cut into potential cross-over votes.
Bernie’s campaign is reeking of desperation
After tomorrow the media will not be playing the aspect of the horse race that is who is going to win but the aspect of how long the corpse is kept around until the plug is pulled.
His funding will wither. The turnout of those who support him in future races will drop dramatically.
All that diminishes the strength of the message he has so far delivered. It gives the message instead that there is, in fact, no significant groundswell of support for his perspectives and that his supporters are mostly dilettantes.
Hanging on through March 15? Maybe, maybe not. I’ve bet yes but would be completely unsurprised if he quits after MI or even after tomorrow. Past then? Very very unlikely.
Nobody cares what’s in the party platforms.
It seems like the April Fools season starts earlier and earlier every year.
I suppose we’ll be hearing the dull rumble of whoopie cushions by the end of the week.
Exactly. The media coverage after tomorrow will feature former campaign volunteers doing tequila shots in Cancun rather than phone banking. They’ll find a rally with empty seats rather than the overflowing rallies of earlier.
I think it will still be considered a cool, exciting ticket to go to a Sanders rally even after he has no chance at the nomination.
And this is based on polls? Gut instincts? A 47 point win Saturday for Clinton was an ass kicking of epic proportions. The high delegate states all show big Clinton leads.
Doesn’t matter how ST goes, Hillary will no more drop out before the convention than Bernie will.
If that doesn’t happen, and Hillary wins the majority of Super Tuesday states, do you think Sander’s will drop out?
After South Carolina, he kept talking bravely about all the delegates available in California, but that isn’t until June.
It’s cool to be on a train that is chugging up a hill, and to be joining in the “we think we can we think we can we think we can” chant. It is not cool to be on the train as it doesn’t, mumbling “we thought we could we thought we could we thought we could.”
Anyone with any idea why there is no polling of any recent vintage out of either Minnesota or Colorado? I know caucus states are tough to get a bead on but still.
He has to come from behind. Without more support from moderate Democrats, the schedule does work against him. So threads like this are going to be around for a while. But I think he will turn it around and close on her from late March forward, even if he doesn’t quite catch her.
The way delegates are weighted is designed to drag it out. Sorry guys, it’s not “over,” over yet.
Oh it is also weighted such that the result is that the later states that demographically favor him some have more weight. So there is some motivation to try to hang on past this Clinton “firewall.” Which is why I am betting he will hang on to see what MI and probably even IL, OH, and FL bring.
Will enough of his supporters donate another $27 (on average) each to allow him to compete in those states?
… and isn’t California on June 7?
I’m going with the latest possible date on the poll, June 7, or maybe not even til the convention, for the simple reason that Bernie isn’t running an ordinary campaign. ISTM that this isn’t about him and not truly about winning, it’s about the message and hopefully laying the groundwork for change further down the road. So he’ll probably be motivated to keep going as long as the message is being heard and the money holds out, or unless the relentless pace just proves too much for him physically.
How else do you change the direction of the Democratic party?
He might as well hang on and see if Hillary gets indicted.
My understanding of both DNC and RNC rules are that anyone who has a delegate and has not officially withdrawn their nomination (thus freeing up their pledged delegates) has a right to speak as a nominee. As for agreeing to Sanders dropping out for concessions, why should Clinton agree to that if she has 50%+?