Furt is right on the money. As is Minty Green.
Putting on my ‘political operative’ hat and trying to objectively rate these guys in terms of danger to Bush, I’d order them:
- Kerrey
- Clark
- Dean
- Edwards
- Lieberman
- The rest don’t matter
Clark is a wild card here, because he’s a political novice, and hasn’t been run through the meat grinder of a major political campaign. There could be any number of skeletons in his closet we don’t know about yet, and if I were a democrat I’d be terrified about the fact that Clark’s superiors do not like him one bit. I think there’s a lot of red meat for Karl Rove in Clark’s behaviour in Europe. He’s also been wildly inconsistent in his views on the war, despite his claim that he’s always been opposed to it.
If Rove manages to trot out someone like Schwartzkopf, who the America people love, who says that Clark cannot be trusted as president, Clark is in big, big trouble. And if Clark went after Stormin’ Norman, he might find someone like Hugh Shelton going after him too. That bit about wanting to attack the Russians and having a British general tell him that he’s not going to start WWIII for him could be a big deal in a general election campaign.
On the other hand, Clark was supreme NATO commander in Europe, and that is a damned impressive credential. But he’s a risk.
Dean is a mess. He’s a hotheaad with a big mouth. He’s already provided Rove with hours of material for attack ads, and the campaign has barely started. He’s just too unpolished and too arrogant to keep his mouth shut, and that’s a deadly combination. Plus, his vehement opposition to the war, which plays well with hardcore Democrats, is going to go over like a lead balloon in middle America.
Kerrey is a pro. He’s got gravitas. He’s got a great military record. He’s been under the microscope for years, so there’s probably little dirt left to dig out over him. He’s carefully straddled the fence on the war. He should be the candidate to beat by a mile. His big problem is simply that he’s run a pretty inept campaign so far, and he has an off-putting demeanor. But don’t count him out.
Of the three front runners, only Kerrey can go toe-to-toe with Bush, in my opinion. Unlike some of you, I’d LOVE to see a Bush-Dean debate, because I think Bush will chew him up. Clark, on the other hand, would give Bush a tough time if he’s prepared well. Kerrey would give him the toughest time of all.
Lieberman shouuld be a contender, but he’s not. His big problem is simply that he comes across as a lightweight. Call it the Dukakis disease. Just looking at him, it’s hard to picture him as president. That’s an important thing to the electorate, even if it shouldn’t be.
Edwards is a long shot, but I really like the way he’s run his campaign so far. He’s stayed away from the dirt, he’s stayed positive, and he’s stayed honest. He refused to shy away from his position on the war even when it was costing him, and he refused to attack Clinton when that was also costing him (back when the party was trying to run from the ‘Clinton legacy’). That tells me he’s got integrity. He’s a little too inexperienced to win this time around, but I think he’s position himself very well for a shot at the VP spot, or perhaps for another run in 2008. I think he’s got a bright future.