I realize we can’t answer these questions with 100% accuracy, there’s always room for surprise. But without getting into Great Debates territory, with the best data available:
Which are the States that could go either Kerry or Bush?
Which are the States that Kerry can count on?
Which are the States that Bush can count on?
Exactly what I’d been trying to find, Airman! Thanks!
I was interested to find the most pro-Rep state and the most pro-Dem state.
The cowboys (and -girls) in Wyoming lead the way for Bush with 65%, while the sophisticates of New York go 58% for Kerry.
DC goes 78% for Kerry, having voted over 80% for Gore in 2000. I think I can guess why.
Because it’s exclusively urban? My hometown of Detroit went for Gore by over 90% in 2000. Detroit’s not a state, of course, but it does have over twice the population of Wyoming, so it’s not exactly a small samaple size.
Question: I thought that traditionally the “blue” party was the incumbent party, and the “red” party were the challengers. Am I wrong? If not, then when did “red” become “permanently” Republican and “blue” become “permanently” Democrat?
According to wikipedia, the media used to switch off the colors between the parties every election. But there’s been so much discussion about the 2000 election and what it meant in American culture that the colors seem to have permanently attached themselves to those parties as a conversational shortcut. Let me find a link…
I think the most Republican of all states is probably Utah.
www.electoralvote.com has it at 64% / 27%.
DC would be the bluest of the blue (78% / 11%). Among actual states, looks like my current home ground gets the nod: New York stands at 58% / 35%.
