Who will be Clinton's running mate?

[The_Other_Waldo_Pepper]

@BobLibDem

I can definitely say it will be someone more charismatic than Pence.

And taller than Danny DeVito.

[DSeid]

A reasonable discussion by the NYT “The Upshot” talking heads.

Arguing for Vilsack:

… he checks every relevant box for a vice-presidential candidate. … He’s a former two-term Iowa governor and a member of the cabinet. Importantly, he’s someone that Clinton has known for a long time — since the 1970s. He also co-chaired her campaign in 2008 — and she probably trusts him to be a loyal and capable partner in government.

Someone like Tim Kaine or Tom Perez would probably have to earn that status. I’m not sure Elizabeth Warren ever could.

I also think he’s a clear check mark on the two general election criteria: “do no harm” and, if possible, “add something.” He’s an experienced politician, and, in my opinion, he’s a clear and effective communicator. He’s not a star, but I don’t think he’s likely to underperform in a debate, at the Democratic convention or in interviews.

And I think he has a great “add something” case: Iowa is a true battleground, as you just mentioned. He’s a guy with a natural pitch to white working-class men, and especially white rural men, who are Clinton’s No. 1 weakness in the polls.

He has weaknesses, of course. He might not be as progressive as some on the left would like. But I don’t think he’s a risk on that front.

For example, I really do think there is some risk that a Warren pick would have trade-offs among well-educated Republicans or less-educated men. I don’t think there’s a risk that Vilsack would make her issues on the left even worse. …

… there’s a case that a vice-presidential pick can help in a state by a few points. Personally, Vilsack strikes me as likelier to pull that off than most: These bonuses seem bigger in smaller states (like Alaska) than in big ones, and Vilsack is a well-known guy who appeals to Clinton’s weakness in the state. On the other hand, maybe this isn’t the sort of election where vice presidents will make much of a difference.

I think the Iowa versus Virginia question is a fun one, because it gets at some of the key dynamics about this election.

Of all of the battleground states, Virginia is the one where Mitt Romney was most dependent on well-educated white voters — which is to say it’s the state where Trump has the most to lose.

Iowa, on the other hand, is the state where Barack Obama was most dependent on less-educated white voters, which is to say it’s the state where Clinton has the most to lose.

[BigAppleBucky]

@adaher

Superb meaning qualified and not divisive. Cory Booker would be a superb choice who isn’t a white male. As would Bill Richardson.

The problem with Corey is that the ticket would read: Clinton - Booker

[Elendil_s_Heir]

Here’s CNN on why Vilsack, despite being older and none too flashy, is still in the mix: http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/21/politics/tom-vilsack-hillary-clinton-vice-presidential-search/index.html

[Happy_Lendervedder]

@BigAppleBucky

The problem with Corey is that the ticket would read: Clinton - Booker

And the Republican ads would write themselves. “Clinton? Book’er.”

[ElvisL1ves]

@adaher

Not Perez, You can take that one to the bank. The betting markets agree: 4% on predictit. 75% Kaine, 12% Vilsack.

Another one for your Predictions thread.

[asahi]

Clinton’s probably going to settle with someone who’s going to end up leaving a lot of the progressive base in need of anti-depressants. She should be wiping the floor with Trump but she looks awful in interviews and she’s probably going to end up playing into the Bernie Bro narrative, which is that she’s just a sham of a candidate. I was hoping she would prove me right and pick someone like Booker or Warren – I don’t think Sanders was the right individual but his message was right. But now I’m just not so sure about her. The argument she’s giving to voters is: vote for me, I’m not Trump. Not a strong case.

[Chefguy]

@BigAppleBucky

The problem with Corey is that the ticket would read: Clinton - Booker

The problem with Vilsack is that the jokes nearly write themselves: ball sack, vile sack, shitsack, etc. Kaine is just boring. Not Al Gore boring, but still a snoozer.

[adaher]

@Elendil_s_Heir

Here’s CNN on why Vilsack, despite being older and none too flashy, is still in the mix: http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/21/politics/tom-vilsack-hillary-clinton-vice-presidential-search/index.html

My suspicion, as I’ve said before, is that there was never a VP search, that Vilsack has been the guy since the beginning, maybe even since 2008.

[Saint_Cad]

I hope she picks Vilsack as it will only hurt her chances
Unfairly shitcanned a black woman from his department based on part of a video.
In the pocket of Big-GMO.
Favors the Kelo decision aka fuck homeowners. they slow down the economy.
Cosplays as Winnie the Pooh

[adaher]

Any candidate with a record has something to attack. Expecting an Iowa pol to not be pro-Monsanto is like expecting a Michigan pol to not be pro-Ford.

[Saint_Cad]

@adaher

Any candidate with a record has something to attack. Expecting an Iowa pol to not be pro-Monsanto is like expecting a Michigan pol to not be pro-Ford.

Which works great as Governor of Iowa but will it translate across the country. I want to see a commercial with Clint Eastwood questioning a chair with the new frankenfish on it asking about GMO food. And be honest, being pro-Kelo is not a popular stance anywhere. And Jesus Christ - Winnie the Pooh?! At least be Tigger FFS.

[adaher]

Democrats can’t escape Kelo. They are the party of government and the Kelo decision involved all of the court’s liberal wing. Any SCOTUS justice a Democrat appoints will be pro-Kelo.

[Elendil_s_Heir]

@adaher

Democrats can’t escape Kelo. They are the party of government and the Kelo decision involved all of the court’s liberal wing. Any SCOTUS justice a Democrat appoints will be pro-Kelo.

I rather doubt that, actually, given how unpopular the decision turned out to be, and the subsequent state legislation to limit its effect. Haven’t heard if Judge Garland (remember him?) has expressed an opinion on the case.

[Love_Rhombus]

I know he allegedly has zipper problems but I always liked Richardson and wouldn’t mind seeing him back, even if he’s a longshot.

[Czarcasm]

It’s going to be Kaine.

[Elendil_s_Heir]

Wouldn’t surprise me, and I wouldn’t mind if it is, but I still think Perez would be the better pick.

[Lantern]

All the indicators are it’s going to be Kaine. I think it’s a good choice. He double downs on experience and solidity in contrast to Trump. He helps woo moderate Republicans who dislike Trump. He will gain the ticket a point or two in a crucial swing state and perhaps North Carolina as well. He has some national security experience which will probably be important in the campaign.

[Rick_Kitchen]

It’s not a HORRIBLE choice, in that Virginia has a Democratic governor (in fact, Kaine’s wife is in his cabinet), but Kaine is just so boring!

[CarnalK]

@Rick_Kitchen

It’s not a HORRIBLE choice, in that Virginia has a Democratic governor (in fact, Kaine’s wife is in his cabinet), but Kaine is just so boring!

What’s an exciting Vice-president going to do for you? Jackshit that’s what.