I get the green mumbles every time I see people use “AI” as an all-encompassing term.
There are lots and lots of AIs, for lots and lots of purposes. AIs are already indispensable work tools in the sciences, and are steadily advancing through all other industries.
The only way to think of AIs is to think of them as the modern equivalent of “computers.” Back in the 1980s and 1990s, people were throwing out wild claims about how computers would be everywhere and do everything for everyone. Lots of people loudly scoffed. Today, of course, computers are so ubiquitous only the most experienced expert could explain how they are used. Would anybody at the launch of the Apple 2 believe that 2024 cars would contain 1000 computers (using the term broadly for chips that run or control stuff as is now common)?
Now, take the ubiquity of computers and imagine increasing productivity by having them do, not just help, a lot of the work. Much of the prospective work is shifted over from the predictions of how robots were going to be doing everything. That never happened. But we have AI that works well for many things, even if some public utterances are defective. Chatbots are mere public relations nonsense, though. Besides we’re in the early, early days. AI will inprove greatly.
Chinese AI firm DeepSeek has emerged as a potential challenger to U.S. AI companies, demonstrating breakthrough models that claim to offer performance comparable to leading offerings at a fraction of the cost.
Nvidia stock dropped 16%. Doubts are appearing about whether these claims are true, but if not today then next year or in 10 years.
If you have a chance to get in at the floor of Apple and Microsoft wouldn’t you drop everything to do so? AI, in some future flavor that probably won’t even be called AI, is going to be in everything everywhere. We’re talking trillions, maybe quadrillions of dollars changing hands. That’s why there’s a push.
I’ve talked just about the business side. Computers were supposed to destroy jobs. (Robots, RIP, were supposed to destroy jobs.) AI is now supposed to destroy jobs. That’s another reason why the push is so strong. AI appears to be much more likely to do so than computers. We don’t know yet what AI-powered programs that nobody has yet thought of will help a bevy of new jobs to appear, however. The odds are not good but the unforeseen future is by definition unknown.