The conventional wisdom among conservative economists is that tax cuts for the wealthy will stimulate the economy, because they will invest their windfall in companies, who then buy equipment, increase production and hire more workers.
And at one time, this might have actually been true.
However, in today’s global economy, there is little guarantee that the tax cuts lavished on the wealthy will be invested in America; rich investors will seek out the best return on their money, and can send that money any where in the world to do so. Indeed, even if the money is invested in an American company, with labor and manufacturing costs much lower abroad, it is much more likely that this money will not stay here, but flow out of the American economy to stimulate the economies of developing countries around the globe.
The damage to the American work force is masked by the recent rise in the stock market, which today reflects the growth of overseas manufacturing by American companies, rather than the strength of the American economy. The stockholders get rich while the workers starve.
Eventually, this will contribute to the decline of the domestic economy, as employment stagnates and wages shrink due to competition from outsourcing. American consumers will no longer have the income to purchase the products that are being imported, and the downward spiral accelerates.
Then there is the notion that stimulating production will create jobs. Why would the manufacturing sector want to add capacity when we are only using 74% of the capacity we already have? What the economy suffers from is not a lack of production capacity, but a lack of demand. Putting more money in the pockets of the rich does little to stimulate demand; they already have all they are likely to consume (and more, that’s why we call them “the rich”).
If we are going to engage in deficit spending as a means of stimulating the economy, let it be from the bottom up, which addresses the problems we have now, instead of concentrating more wealth in a smaller and smaller percentage of the population at the top. Any tax cuts should be in the payroll taxes of middle and lower class, who are more likely to spend that money on goods and services, and soak up some of the nation’s excess production capacity. Only then will industry see the need to expand production and create jobs.