[QUOTE=t-bonham@scc.net]
But isn’t there a good deal of question about the accuracy of these polls back then, compared to recent ones?
Remember that all the polls back then were saying Truman would lose the election badly, yet he won it. Even election night, they were still getting it wrong – remember the photo of Truman with the “Dewey defeats Truman” headline?
Given how inaccurate all those other polls were, why do we believe that the 22% approval rating was an accurate one?
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Polls can’t do any more than give a snapshot of how people feel on a given day. IIRC, the polling at the time wasn’t all-pervasive and daily as it is now. The pollsters stopped intensive polling early because it seemed to be one-sided, but a lot of people made up their minds at the last minute.
The 22% figure, however, was the culmination of a long series of negative polls and there’s no reason to doubt that they were all wrong.
MacArthur’s reputation waxes and wanes. A recent major book, 15 Stars: Eisenhower, MacArthur, Marshall: Three Generals Who Saved the American Century, by Stanley Weintraub has the most completely negative portrayal of MacArthur you’ll probably ever read. He accuses him not merely of bad generaling but of active outright lying and deception about every activity he ever undertook, including what he had for breakfast. He accuses a series of tame newsmen of writing and ghostwriting articles and books falsely burnishing his reputation to make him the one indispensable hero. There was no reason for the public not to buy into this, and they did wholeheartedly.
Truman’s problem was simply a combination of the awful times he presided over and his not being the idolized Roosevelt. Spavined Gelding gave a good list of some of the issues. The Democrats had been in power for so long that they were assigned the blame for every ill. Nobody could possibly have been another Democrat following Roosevelt and not suffer from similar accusations.
The re-evaluation of Truman since those days is made possible by our moving out of those times to see that Truman was not responsible for much of what went wrong. He did much good - the Marshall Plan saved western civilization, and that’s only a slight bit of hyperbole - and his failings were magnified by his political foes, who were as loathsome a set as any we’ve seen in America. With enemies like that you’re bound to eventually look good by comparison.
Not at the time, though, not while they were still in full bellow. People wanted the victory parades of WWII to go on for years. They didn’t and couldn’t. Truman got the blame at the time. He didn’t deserve it, but that’s sometimes what the President is for.