The subtitle of this article from Slate.com suggests that Iowa will be crucial in the upcoming presidential election. Will it, with its whopping six electoral votes, really be all that crucial? If the election comes down to a 6 vote margin, the answer would be yes. But if that’s the case, practically every state will be crucial. It bugs me to no end when I hear things like [insert election of choice here] all came down to [insert state of choice here]. Okay, maybe a given state was decided last, and we didn’t know what the outcome of an election would be until the polls closed there, but such a hypothetical state wasn’t any more important in the end than any other. Oh, and while I’m at it, the fact that no Republican has ever won the presidency without winning Ohio is a statistical anomaly. No Republican who has ever won a presidential race where it came down to the number of electoral college votes Ohio had has ever won it without winning a whole lot of other states in the process, either.
I’m no statician. Correct me if I’m wrong.