Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter? (Answer: Yes. Pardoned on December 1, 2024)

I think this is right. 2/3rds of convictions result in jail time, not 2/3 of all cases.

Hunter could have had a plea deal. He had a pretty good one all lined up, but his lawyers went too far and tried to slide a blanket immunity for all prior crimes into the fine print on one of the charges, and the judge threw it out.