Unfortunately, as is common with the media, Time’s article missed a key point.
The Stanford studyfollowed patients starting at age 50 years old and older. The study’s chief author, James Fries, is an enthusiastic runner, so perhaps he can be forgiven for some of his more enthusiastic quotes. And of course, many pro-running articles are quick to pick up on any good news about how good running is for you.
Why is a study for old guys not very useful to answer your question? Because by age 50, the people who shouldn’t be running excessively, and whom running has injured, have already crapped out. Go watch a marathon. Plenty of young, big guys, some obvious footballers wanting to prove they still have it. Now check out the 60 year olds: small-framed, light of feet, good of technique…they wouldn’t be running at that age if running was the wrong sport for them.
I’m not saying running trashes your joints, but my gut is that your frame does make a difference, as do your joint mechanics and your genes, especially if it’s more vigorous running. See Jman’s post in this thread for some anecdotal comments around this idea. I can tell you in medicine we see joint injury all the time in vigorous exercisers, and of course a long term prospective study needs to include what percent of people dropped out of their exercise regimen because of injury–you can’t just look at everyone who ran for 40 years and see how they are doing against people who didn’t run. Maybe those who don’t exercise now used to, but it wrecked their joints.
I should also mention that, while knees are a popular item to look at, other joints–especially hips, but also feet and backs–are equally significant.
Here are a few more studies to look over.
Full disclosure: the Pedant is a fat and lazy geezer, praying for the comeuppance of his haughty marathoning neighbors (whom he otherwise loves).