Regular readers of my posts (Yes, both of you, down the back there!) will probably be aware of my interest in Colonialism. Anyway, I was reading up on The Carnation Revolution in 1975, which overthrew the Estado Novo in Portugal and, besides democratising they country almost overnight*, it also basically told the Portuguese Colonies “Guess what? You’re independent now. Thanks for playing” and cut Mozambique and Angola loose (East Timor was promptly invaded by Indonesia, India had “liberated” Goa some years earlier, and Macau was left as-is for a further 24 years until it was returned to China).
Now, from what I’ve read, the Portuguese Colonial wars were actually going reasonably well for Portugal, especially in Mozambique- they were militarily defeating the FRELIMO rebels, the local populace was, by in large, happy to remain part of Portugal (having been a Portuguese colony for the previous 450-odd years), and, in short, had the Estado Novo not been overthrown in the Carnation Revolution, it strikes me as likely that Mozambique and Macau would probably end up as Region de Outre-Mer, to borrow a useful French term which basically translates and “Part of the main country which happens to be overseas” (“Overseas Region” seems to lack some of the subtle nuances, I think
). Angola may have been cut loose eventually, or it may have also ended up as an overseas region of Portugal… it’s hard to tell.
Anyway, here’s the debate: Assuming that the Estado Novo hadn’t been overthrown (or, alternatively- and slightly more plausibly- that the new democratic government wanted to retain Portugal’s overseas possessions), is it likely that Portugal might still have “Overseas Regions”, instead of now being internationally regarded as “That country famous for inventing Port Wine, Spicy Chicken, and being to the left of Spain on a map?”
*Well, in two years, which is practically overnight in a geopolitical context