It won’t be expensive. The hardware is cheap. All the work is in the software. Microsoft would sell this at a loss if they had to, in order to build the Xbox market.
Microsoft has HUGE plans for Xbox, and some of their new services are pretty amazing. Zune Video finally looks like something I’d want to use - 1080p streaming movies with no wait times before the movie starts is damned cool. Natal looks great if it works as advertised. Even just its ability to be used as a media center remote with hand gestures is cool enough to make it desirable. Facial recognition is really neat - walk into the living room, and the TV pops up your favorite playlists, contacts, waiting messages, whatever. No waiting to boot up, log in, navigate through menus to your own stuff.
And that’s all before we even get to the gameplay aspect. I think that’s probably the iffiest part of the project. Not everyone moves the same. Some people have disabilities which inhibit full motion. It remains to be seen if everyone wants to have a workout every time they play a game. But for those who do, and who can handle the precision movements required, it could be great.
Microsoft is in the process of pulling a whole lot of technologies together which they hope will give them the ability to go after Apple’s iPhone and iPod Touch, the Mac, the Ps3, the Wii, and other platforms. And they may just pull it off. To date, Zune has been a joke. But the new version of it is pretty compelling, especially when you have many zune-capable devices. For example, the new Zune portable player will stream HD content, and will talk to your Xbox and PC. Windows Home Server and Windows 7 have the ability to aggregate media, make it available to any device, provide access to your files over the internet, do automated backups of everything, and more. All your microsoft devices are recognized as media extenders, so if you connect up a TV tuner to your PC, you can watch TV on your handheld Zune player over Wi-fi or even streamed over the internet to a remote location.
Now we just have to see if they can deliver on the promises. So far, everything I’ve seen in this latest generation of Microsoft stuff has been great. Windows 7 is awesome. Windows Home Server simply works, and works well. I’ll definitely give the new Zune media stuff a try, and project Natal, if it ever ships.