1 Michael Cuddyer
2 Evan Longoria
3 Miguel Cabrera
4 Mark Reynolds
5 Albert Pujols
6 Dan Uggla
7 Ryan Zimmerman
8 Ben Zobrist
9 Robinson Cano
10 Lance Berkman
Week 11, Prince Fielder, Milwaukee
Bootis, there are a few reasons we’re laggin so bad, but foremost (and it took me playing this game to really grasp this) is the fact that sluggers are streaky. Looking at the league leaders-Cabrera has hit 11 of his 19 HR’s in the last 20 games, leaving only 8 for his other 40 games. Jose Bautista hit 11 of his HR’s in a 19 game stretch, leaving only 7 for his other 45 games. Likewise, Corey Hart hit 11 HR’s in a 17 game stretch, leaving only 6 for his other 38 games.
If you happened to pick one of those guys during a hot streak, you’d get about 3.5 HR’s a week; if you picked them during a cool streak (which it appears is roughly twice as likely) you’d get only 1 per week. Even the league leaders are going to be relative busts 2 times in 3.
These guys’ streaks are obviously amplified, but I’ve noticed the same thing all year-sluggers seem to go on a tear for 1-2 weeks then cool off again, at least as far as HR’s are concerned.
|Season| Week |Rank|
Participant |HR AB|Player HR AB|Chng|
--------------------------+------+-------------------+----+
Hawkeyeop |15 235|C. Utley 19| |
Ambihelical Hexnut |13 231|V. Guerrero 2 25| |
Incensed |11 257|L. Berkman 23| |
Bootis |10 222|V. Guerrero 2 25| |
The Other Jeffrey Lebowski| 8 140|T. Glaus 2 27|Up 1|
wolfman | 7 223|I. Stewart 13|Dn 1|
FoieGrasIsEvil | 4 155|J. Bautista 20| |
Munch | 3 202| | |
storyteller0910 | 1 42| | |
In total, our picks have hit 72 HR in 1707 AB (4.22 HR/100 AB)
Last week, our picks hit 6 HR in 152 AB (3.95 HR/100 AB)
For the second time in 3 weeks, we collectively recorded 6 HR in 152 AB. Vlad’s homers enabled me to cut Hawkeyeop’s lead in half, and also meant that Bootis became the fourth participant to reach double digits. Elsewhere, Troy Glaus’s 2 HR game yesterday moved The Other Jeffrey Lebowski ahead of wolfman into 5th place.
Week 1: Alex Rodriguez (NYY)
Week 2: Chase Utley (PHI)
Week 3: Dan Uggla (FLA)
Week 4: Derrek Lee (CHC)
Week 5: Adam Dunn (WSH)
Week 6: Albert Pujols (STL)
Week 7: Prince Fielder (MIL)
Week 8: Kevin Youkilis (BOS)
Week 9: Mark Teixeira (NYY)
Week 10: Vladimir Guerrero (TEX)
Week 11: Miguel Cabrera (DET) Week 12: Jose Guillen (KC)
1 Michael Cuddyer
2 Evan Longoria
3 Miguel Cabrera
4 Mark Reynolds
5 Albert Pujols
6 Dan Uggla
7 Ryan Zimmerman
8 Ben Zobrist
9 Robinson Cano
10 Lance Berkman
11 Prince Fielder
|Season| Week |Rank|
Participant |HR AB|Player HR AB|Chng|
--------------------------+------+-------------------+----+
Hawkeyeop |15 257|C. Pena 22| |
Ambihelical Hexnut |13 251|M. Cabrera 20| |
Incensed |12 278|P. Fielder 1 21| |
Bootis |11 250|C. Hart 1 28| |
The Other Jeffrey Lebowski| 9 167|J. Hamilton 1 27| |
wolfman | 8 244|P. Fielder 1 21| |
FoieGrasIsEvil | 4 173|A. Rodriguez 18| |
Munch | 3 202| | |
storyteller0910 | 1 42| | |
In total, our picks have hit 76 HR in 1864 AB (4.08 HR/100 AB)
Last week, our picks hit 4 HR in 157 AB (2.55 HR/100 AB)
Last week turned out to be a very quiet week for us. For the first time all season, everybody remained in the same position on the leaderboard, and nobody had a multi-homer week.
Week 5 Paul Konerko
Week 6 Jayson Werth
Week 7 Jose Bautista
Week 8 Alex Gonzalez
Week 9 Mark Teixeira
Week 10 Troy Glaus
Week 11 Josh Hamilton
Week 12 Adam Dunn Week 13 Matt Holliday
Week 1: Alex Rodriguez (NYY)
Week 2: Chase Utley (PHI)
Week 3: Dan Uggla (FLA)
Week 4: Derrek Lee (CHC)
Week 5: Adam Dunn (WSH)
Week 6: Albert Pujols (STL)
Week 7: Prince Fielder (MIL)
Week 8: Kevin Youkilis (BOS)
Week 9: Mark Teixeira (NYY)
Week 10: Vladimir Guerrero (TEX)
Week 11: Miguel Cabrera (DET)
Week 12: Jose Guillen (KC) Week 13: Josh Hamilton (TEX)
1 Michael Cuddyer
2 Evan Longoria
3 Miguel Cabrera
4 Mark Reynolds
5 Albert Pujols
6 Dan Uggla
7 Ryan Zimmerman
8 Ben Zobrist
9 Robinson Cano
10 Lance Berkman
11 Prince Fielder
12 Chase Utley
|Season| Week |Rank|
Participant |HR AB|Player HR AB|Chng|
--------------------------+------+-------------------+----+
Hawkeyeop |17 279|J. Hamilton 2 22| |
Ambihelical Hexnut |13 274|J. Guillen 23| |
Incensed |12 299|C. Utley 21| |
Bootis |11 272|J. Morneau 22| |
The Other Jeffrey Lebowski|10 188|A. Dunn 1 21| |
wolfman | 9 265|R. Howard 1 21| |
Munch | 5 223|J. Votto 2 21|Up 1|
FoieGrasIsEvil | 4 173| |Dn 1|
storyteller0910 | 1 42| | |
In total, our picks have hit 82 HR in 2015 AB (4.07 HR/100 AB)
Last week, our picks hit 6 HR in 151 AB (3.97 HR/100 AB)
Hawkeyeop has extended his lead to 4 homers, and The Other Jeffrey Lebowski reached double digits. The only change on the leaderboard was Munch jumping over FoieGrasIsEvil into seventh place.
It seems like, in recent weeks, our picks have had a ton of hits, but the longball has largely deserted them… It’s now been 6 straight weeks with an overall rate of less than 4 HR per 100 AB.
1 Michael Cuddyer
2 Evan Longoria
3 Miguel Cabrera
4 Mark Reynolds
5 Albert Pujols
6 Dan Uggla
7 Ryan Zimmerman
8 Ben Zobrist
9 Robinson Cano
10 Lance Berkman
11 Prince Fielder
12 Chase Utley
13 David Wright